2. I can't believe that there is a sufficient number of rich people to vote Romney into office. Remember, there are only about, oh, 1%, of them. However, the American voting public reminds me of sheep. They watch a TV ad and actually believe what is being said. A sum of $5.6 billion was spent in the 2008 presidential/congressional campaigns. I have no reference on this one, but I would not be surprised if the total this year reaches $10 billion. Why? The rich are desperate against Obama and focused on gaining total control of Congress. They were given an open door by the U.S. Supreme Court decision legalizing super PAC's and other spending interests who DON'T need to disclose their donors. Sheldon Adelson himself has indicated a willingness to spend $100 million against Obama. As he is worth $25 billion, that's less than one half of one percent of his riches. All that said, Obama himself will be sufficiently supported by his billionaires (like Warren Buffett to the right) to neutralize the Republicans.
One potential indicator could well help Romney. If the Dow Jones Industrials Average slips from Labor to Election Day, the incumbent usually loses. An increase insures victory. Over the past 112 years, this simple barometer has been right 25 out of 28 times. The lofty 13,000+ level maintained recently could quite easily drop with any kind of crisis, real or perceived. The smart bettor would look very closely at this figure.