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Wednesday, December 1, 2010

WE HAVE MET THE ENEMY, AND HE IS US!

The Cancun UN Framework Convention on Climate Change just began with a keynote by Mexican President Felipe Calderon, but why?  Not only is no one from the U.S. Congress bothering to fly the 1354 miles from DC, no member is even sending a staffperson to observe.  Of course, neither Barack Obama nor Hu Jintao, leaders of the two countries that emit the most carbon dioxide (42%), will be there.  But, there will be 15,000 participants.  Why bother?

A bigger waste of time and money I can't imagine.  Next to much of the budget of the Department of Defense, of course.  At least hold these meetings in the middle of summer, say, in Delhi, to see people sweating.  But Copenhagen last year and Cancun this year, in December?  Makes no sense.

What are the numbers?  In the base year, 1990, China and India produced 13% of the world carbon dioxide emission.  In 2007, their total doubled to 26%, and in 2035, the expectation is 37%.  Thus far, both India and China have been exempted and are not included in any kind of future agreement.  The U.S. signed, but the U.S. Congress never ratified, the Kyoto Protocol, which will expire in 2012.  But who really cares as this treaty was totally ineffectual anyway, for global carbon dioxide emissions increased 41% between 1990 and 2008.  Yet, one hundred and ninety one countries have signed and ratified the treaty (from Wikipedia):
Participation in the Kyoto Protocol, as of June 2009:

Green = Countries that have signed and ratified the treaty
Grey = Countries that have not yet decided
Red = No intention to ratify at this stage.

Is something wrong with the USA?  In 2009 an American poll showed that more people were opposed to the climate change bill passed by the House of Representatives (41% to 37%).  Another poll this year showed that we are even less concerned about global warming.  Now with the Republicans in control of the House, the situation becomes totally impossible.  As Pogo said, the enemy is us:

All this even though NASA has reported that:

Since the late 1800's, the global average temperature has increased about 0.7 to 1.4 degrees F (0.4 to 0.8 degrees C). Many experts estimate that the average temperature will rise an additional 2.5 to 10.4 degrees F (1.4 to 5.8 degrees C) by 2100. That rate of increase would be much larger than most past rates of increase.

But just two weeks ago the International Energy Agency predicted that the temperature of our atmosphere would increase by 6.3 degrees F by 2035, only 25 years from now.

In August I came to a conclusion that there is no chance that the world will suddenly heat up one hot summer to kill many, many millions.  Click on that posting to find out why.  Thus, I am afraid, observing the politics of America, that there will not ever be a global agreement to check climate heating...until it is too late!

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On this sad note I can at least report that the Dow Jones Industrials jumped 260 (2.3%) to 11,266, reflecting worldwide increases, with Germany up 2.7% and China actually positive (+0.1%), for a change.  Gold rose $3/toz to $1389 and petroleum is almost up to $87/barrel, with the London Brent oil price at $89/barrel.  $100/barrel in the offing?

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The hurricane season is over, and Hawaii saw nothing this year, supposedly because of La Nina cooling.  Surprisingly enough, when this happens in the Pacific, there are generally more storms in the Atlantic.   While nothing deadly happened, this was, indeed one of the most active seasons on record in the Atlantic.  Related to the above global warming coming, though, just think if the atmosphere does warm.  Can you imagine the devastation, because hotter oceans are responsible for more and stronger hurricanes?  However, you ask, if the climate is warming, why don't we have strengthened El Nino (warming) conditions?

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