I initiated this three-part 2020 Presidential Election series on Friday. Yesterday (scroll down to next posting) was part 2. Today I will tell you who will win on 3 November 2020.
However, a lot will depend on one issue: whether global warming is considered serious or not. Gallup reports that 45% of Americans this year worry "a great deal" about global warming. No doubt President Donald Trump's attitude about the subject and his decision to abandon the Paris Agreement have alarmed some. Here is a timeline:
- When Donald Trump got elected last year, he did this with the common knowledge that he felt global warming was a hoax. Already, belief in this phenomenon was high and climbing, so why didn't this idiotic point of view hurt him?
- People just cannot feel the difference in temperature from year to year. If the atmosphere jumps 3.6 F by the end of this century, that is only 0.04 F each year. However, scientists argue that less than a degree F--2.7 F instead of 3.6F--means that coral reefs will not all die and droughts would be half as serious. But who listens to scientists?
- It's even more non-discernible regarding sea level rise. Sure, projections show, perhaps, a 6-inch increase, but that is less than a tenth of an inch/year. The future rise could be close to 50 feet, but you need to live to the age of 500 or so. Going back in time that far takes us to around when Columbus was discovering America. I'm, of course, being facetious, but people just don't seem to care that much. Al Gore's second global warming film sank like a rock. That is a fact.
- I once thought that we would finally begin to demand action when a hundred million die one hot summer. Then I saw on TV a blackout in Baghdad, where air conditioners became useless when the temperature was 125 F. Very few deaths were recorded, and you saw women walking around covered in black. The bottom line is that record global heat in the worst of summer will just not kill a massive number of humanity.
- While just common sense should be convincing enough, for as the ocean warms, there will be more ocean storms, science has shown that this already happening. Another catastrophic disaster like Hurricane Katrina overwhelming New Orleans would definitely affect voters.
- Something the Gore film said finally made sense to me. As the surface of Planet Earth warms, more water will be vaporized. Thus, storms can only get worse and worse.
- However, Katrina was a dozen years ago.
- Is climate change occurring?
- Conservative Republican 18%
- Liberal Democrat 68%
- Almost all climate scientists agree that human behavior is mostly responsible for climate change.
- Conservative Republican 13%
- Liberal Democrat 55%
- Can climate scientists be trusted a lot to give full and accurate info on causes of climate change?
- Conservative Republican 15%
- Liberal Democrat 70%
At this time, unless something unusual happens, ocean storms Jova (heading for Hawaii), Gert (moving away from the USA East Coast) and Banyan (moving away from Japan) will all dissipate without affecting any populated area.