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Friday, September 4, 2015

ABOUT SHEEP AND PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS


On opposing pages this morning in the Star-Advertiser were Donald Trump pledging his allegiance to the Republican Party and Chris, the long-lost Australian sheep.  I thought that would make a fine snarky Friday posting, comparing the hairdo of both:


Chris' 89 pounds of wool, also about his actual weight, is certainly a world record, for the average from one sheep in the U.S. is 7.3 pounds.  If I'm reading this right, a pound of just sheared wool costs around $35, so Chris' must be worth about $300.  Anyway, this wool can make 30 sweaters, which, then, increase the ultimate value.

However, after getting this far, I thought I would rescue the dignity of this blog site by citing current bookmaker's odds of our presidential candidates:
  • Democratic nomination:

Odds as of August 25 at Bovada
  • Hilary Clinton -700
  • Bernie Sanders +600
  • Joe Biden +800
  • Martin O'Malley +3300
  • Elizabeth Warren +3300
  • Jim Webb +5000
  • Lincoln Chafee +10000
  • Republican nomination:

  • Jeb Bush +150
  • Donald Trump +300
  • Scott Walker +600
  • Marco Rubio +600
  • Ben Carson +900
  • John Kasich +1000
  • Chris Christie +1500
  • Ted Cruz +1500
  • Rand Paul +2500
2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES
  • Odds as of August 25 at Bovada
    • Hillary Clinton +110
    • Jeb Bush +375
    • Donald Trump +700
    • Marco Rubio +1400
    • Scott Walker +1400
    • Bernie Sanders +1400
    • Joe Biden +1800
    • John Kasich +2500
    • Ted Cruz +3300
    • Ben Carson +3300
    • Chris Christie +5000
    • Carly Fiorina +5000
    • Elizabeth Warren +6600
    • Rand Paul +10000
    • Jim Webb +10000
    • Martin O'Malley +10000
    • Rick Perry +15000
    • Bobby Jindal +15000
    • Rick Santorum +15000
Here are what these numbers mean:
  • Say you are betting on the New York Jets (-500) against the New England Patriots (+350).
    • The minus sign means that team is favored.
    • Thus if you bet $500 on the Jets, you will win back your $500, plus $100, or $600 total.
    • The plus sign means this team is supposed to lose
    • Thus, if you bet $350, you will get back your $350, plus $100, or $450 total.
  • Say the Jets were even and Patriots +150:  betting $100 on the Jets would get you back a total of $200...bet $350, and you will return $700.

So, as far as who will be our next president, if you bet $100 on:
  • Hillary Clinton:  you will win $210
  • Jeb Bush:  $475
  • Donald Trump: $800
  • Bernie Sanders:  $1500
  • Joe Biden:  $1900
  • Chris Christie:  $5100
  • Rick Santorum:  $15100
In other words, ignore those e-mail issues, the rise of Sanders, those upcoming interminable presidential debates and Trump running as a third party candidate.  Hillary Clinton, as of August 25, is the overwhelming favorite to become the next POTUS (President Of The United States).


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Hurricane Jimena is weakening and projected to move north:


However, computer models show Jimena hooking left and leaning towards Kauai:


There is a very new disturbance, 98E, off Mexico, and this storm is expected to move in the direction of Hawaii.


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