Total Pageviews

Thursday, February 25, 2016

BREXIT: Will the United Kingdom Exit the European Union?

First, if you are awed by gigantic waves:

... if you happen to be in Honolulu, you will be able to view, live, the whole thing on Oceanic Time Warner Cable channels 250 and 1250HD (the pre-surf program began at 7:30 AM HT).  Othewise, go to:

     http://Quiksilver.com/Eddie
or
     http://WorldSurLeague.com



The Eddie is On (this link takes you straight to the event), and the wipeouts at Waimer Bay have been spectacular.  Best as I can tell, the Quicksilver Eddie, which began at 8AM (HST) with 50 foot (face) waves, will continue until 4PM (9PM EST).

There will be two rounds of four heats (each with seven surfers--thus, 28 total competitors), and after just two heats in round one, Ross Clarke Jones leads with 166 points and #2 is Kelly Slater with 97.  To a man (where are the women, anyway?), each says just being invited is an incredible honor.

********************
BREXIT is a portmanteau (linguistic blend f words) of British EXIT from the European Union.  For the record, this term is obsolete, for Great Britain only includes England, Scotland and Wales.  The United Kingdom, which also includes Northern Ireland, is the correct term, so UKEXIT is more accurate.  Ah, but you say a better categorization would be the British Isles leaving the UK.  Nope, for the BI includes the Isle of Man, which not part of the UK, nor the EU, but UK is limiting, too, for Gibraltar is also involved.

Now that you are sufficiently confused, let me add a larger term, Commonwealth Nations.  How many are there?  Sure, Canada, Australia, India, New Zealand, Singapore, and South Africa.  But you'll be surprised to learn that there are 51 entities in all, including the UK.  Add Tonga, Tanzania, Samoa, Mauritius, Kenya, Belize, and...

OH, OH, ONE THING WE HAVE IN 15 CRAIGSIDE IS A VERY LOUD AUDIO WARNING SYSTEM IN EACH APARTMENT.  THERE IS A FIRE ON THE THIRD FLOOR AND EVERYONE ON THAT LEVEL HAS BEEN WARNED TO EVACUATE!!!  I SMELL NO SMOKE AT THIS POINT.

Back to Brexit, for that is the operative term today, a referendum will be held on 23 June 2016 to decide if the 46 years of EU membership should be terminated.  Why there is even a vote is that in 2013 David Cameron promised that, should the Conservatives win the General Election in 2015, his government would negotiate more favorable terms for continuing UK membership in the EU, and should that be unsatisfactory, a vote to depart will be held.  A few public polls in France and Germany, irritated by this attitude, apparently indicated a good riddance majority.   Officially, the USA is against UK departure.  No member EU state has ever left.

WHEW, THE BUILDING EMERGENCY HAS BEEN CLEARED.  15 CRAIGSIDE WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST NOW.  BEST AS I CAN TELL, THAT WAS A FIRE DRILL, WHICH MUST HAVE CAUSED A FEW STROKES AND HEART ATTACKS FOR THOSE ON THE 3RD FLOOR, FOR THERE WAS NO ADVANCED INDICATION THAT THIS WAS A DRILL.

Every wonder what happened to the Tory Party?  It became the Conservative Party nearly two centuries ago.  Their logo was somewhat a symbol of the national tree, Oak, representing strength and endurance.  But the green squiggly tree was replaced by a Union Jack.  

Note the imagined link to the American Republican Party.

The Labour Party uses a rose, the national flower of England.  The Rose was a symbol of anti-authority from the Middle Ages, and has been associated with socialism.  This only came their logo in 1980.

And, by the way, there is a so-called third party, the Liberal Democrats, formed in 1988 through a merger of the Liberal and Social Democrat Parties.  However, they only have 8 of 650 seats in the Parliament today.  Even the Scottish National Part has 54 members.  There are members from 13 parties, with 330 Conservatives and 230 Labour.

The Conservative Party, which was largely responsible for the UK initially joining the EU, until this past week had no position on this vote.  In some reversal, the Labour Party in 1973 was  not totally happy with the entrance, but is now strongly committed to remaining in the EU. Confusingly, the Labour Party campaigned in 1983 to withdraw from the then European Community, but was thrashed by the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher.  Again, all this is somewhat befuddling.  

Leaving the EU will negatively impact the UK:


While I guess it is too late to cancel the vote, last week Prime Minister Cameron did announce that he did gain some concessions:

The prime minister had negotiated reforms in areas including migration, protection for the City of London and an opt-out from “ever closer union” in tense talks which ended late on Friday night. Having secured the deal, he will now seek to convince the public to stay in the EU ahead of the referendum scheduled for Thursday 23 June.

Here is the latest (today) review of what is happening.  All in all, there is uncertainty, even though most surveys show that the UK will remain in the EU.  Brexit referendum betting odds also show the UK staying, with 54%.  Betfair indicates the stay in the mid'60's, but declining:


So to the question to the title above, no, all signs point to the UK remaining in the EU.

After Round One, the Eddie leaders are:

     #1  John John Florence of Hawaii    170 points (left)
    #2  Ross-Clark Jones of Australia     166 points
    #3  Koa Rothman of Hawaii             110 points

Tomorrow, 15 Craigside goes to the Restaurant Row Ruth's Chris Steakhouse, the largest luxury steakhouse chain with 100 restaurants.

-

No comments: