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Sunday, September 6, 2015

I AM 75


Wow, I made it.  I am, today, 75 years old.  That birthday cake will later today be the centerpiece of a small gathering at 15 Craigside, with Prosecco, or Italian champagne.

The greatest transition, for me, was my birth.   My life has tended to significantly shift every decade or so.  At the beginning, 6 September 1940, the #1 song in America was Tommy Dorsey's I'll Never Smile Again.  The attack on Pearl Harbor was more than a year away, Mae West and WC Fields made My Chickadee and Hitler had conquered most of Europe.

At around the age of ten my parents were Buddhists, but, because a popular Christian church was a couple of block from where we lived in Kakaako, I was some fusion of both religions.  I vaguely remember asking a Buddhist priest how many people attained Nirvana.  He answered the question in a roundabout way, but never really provided an answer.  Of course individuals have claimed to attain this ultimate state of mind, but at that young age I began to have doubts about the reality of religion in general.  I could not get meaningful facts about Heaven and God.  At that age I was transitioning from a child into an adolescent.  The #1 song was the Weavers' Goodnight Irene.

At 21 I graduated from Stanford and found myself working at the Hutchinson Sugar Company in Naalehu, the southernmost point of the USA.  I met Pearl in September, when the #1 song was Sheila (Tommy Roe), and we were married in December.  To the left, our going away party, with Manager Bill Baldwin, who set up our first date.  Our marriage carried through virtually the next half a century.

Ten years later, I earned my PhD in biochemical engineering at Louisiana State University with a dissertation research project where I built a tunable laser before you could purchase one to zap the DNA/RNA bonds of E. coli in a micro reactor.  On my birthday that year, the #1 song was Gilbert O'Sullivan's Alone Again.  I then went on to the College of Engineering at the University of Hawaii, where I today, 43 years later, continue to have an office on the Manoa Campus.

In 1979, when the #1 song was Knack's My Sharona, I found myself working for U.S. Senator Spark Matsunaga, where I helped write the original legislation for hydrogen and ocean thermal energy conversion.  Both passed into law and set the tone for the future of these technologies for the world.  I also helped shepherd the first wind energy legislation.  Interestingly enough, that same Bill Baldwin, as the sugarman for Sparky, shared the same office with me.  My three years in DC provided a base from which I was able to blend politics into academia for success in research fundraising.

1990 (#1 song was Jon Bon Jovi's Blaze of Glory--the worrisome thing about this song is that I just watched it, and it's totally unfamiliar) was a particularly monumental year, for I created the Blue Revolution with Hawaii Senator Richard Matsuura, who had worked for Norman Borlaug in the Green Revolution.  We co-authored the original paper on the subject and gave the keynote address for the First International Workshop on Large Floating Structure.  Today, Blue Revolution Hawaii has copyrighted the term and is progressing towards developing the Pacific International Ocean Station (PIOS). I endowed my penthouse apartment to the University of Hawaii, serving as the seed to spur the creation of a $1.5 billion fund to build PIOS.  I still think this should have been the Pacific Ocean International Station, or POI-Station.

Then at the end of 1999, when Santana's Smooth was #1, I retired, to do something else for the rest of my life.  Hard to believe this was 16 years ago, but I maintain an office on the Manoa Campus and regularly interact with the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute and faculty of the School of Ocean and Earth Sciences and Technology.  I've written three books and published more than a hundred articles in The Huffington Post.

Just before 2010, the #1 song was Black Eyed Peas' I Gotta Feeling, and to my profound shock, my wife of 47 years, Pearl, passed away.    When I returned home the morning of her death, I wrote Gratitude...Not Grief for The Huffington Post.   In many ways, her passage was a blessing, for if she had survived, she would have been on a ventilator for the rest of her life.  She thus provided another transition, as I grew up in a family, lived with roommates through college and almost half a century with her.  For the first time in my life I was alone, and friends/relatives were concerned.  Would I become an alcoholic?  Overly depressed?  Well, I might drink too much, but this final phase of my life was been, actually, fabulous.  The freedom to do what I want led to, first, planting more than 50 Gold Trees at the Hilo Municipal, Ala Wai and Makelena Golf Courses in her honor, and dropping her ashes at more than 50 sites around the world.  I begin my next (tenth??) around the world adventure in ten days.

This has been only half a decade since that previous transition, but moving into 15 Craigside and attaining the age of 75 seem to have changed the formula from every ten years to every five years.  The #1 tune on the Billboard 200 is Immortalized, by Disturbed.  What a terrible song, but I like the title, and the best for me, certainly, must be yet to come.  Perhaps some combination of the following:


Well, can't be a combination of Heaven and eternal gloom, so I can only hope for the former.  Gives me something to fulfill before the final earthly termination.

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Saturday, September 5, 2015

TREES: Are they Bad for the Environment?

I'm not into poetry, but can practically recite Trees, by Joyce Kilmer:

Trees

I think that I shall never see 
A poem lovely as a tree. 

A tree whose hungry mouth is prest 
Against the earth’s sweet flowing breast; 

A tree that looks at God all day, 
And lifts her leafy arms to pray; 

A tree that may in Summer wear 
A nest of robins in her hair; 

Upon whose bosom snow has lain; 
Who intimately lives with rain. 

Poems are made by fools like me, 
But only God can make a tree.

Yes, Joyce Kilmer is a man.  Written a little more a century ago (1913), the poem does not refer to any tree in particular.  It is not in any top poems list, but there is something simple and memorable about Trees.

I just learned today that Planet Earth has more than 3 trillion trees.  Thus, there are 428 trees for each person.   By country:
  • Russia (642 billion)
  • Canada
  • Brazil
  • U.S. (228 billion)
The United Nations launched their Billion Tree Campaign in 2006.  They exceeded their goal, planting 7 billion by 2009 and 13 million trees by 2011.  Interesting that I can't find how they've done since then.  Also, 13 billion trees represent only one half of one percent of all the trees now growing.  In any case, the top three nations are:
  • China (2.8 billion)
  • India (2.1 billion)
  • Ethiopia (1.6 billion)
That's from Wikipedia, and those sums are over nearly a decade.  Something is seriously wrong because Paper University reports the USA plants 2.5 billion trees every year, and we today have more trees than ever in the past.  Same for Europe.  However, all reports seem to indicate that the world has only, perhaps, half the number we once had!

All the above seems sensible, but, read this, and wonder:

Take a straw poll on the street today and ask anyone about trees and you will likely hear one of the following sound bites (or many variations thereof):
    1. Trees are the ‘lungs’ of the Earth
    2. Trees ‘breathe’ CO2
    3. Without trees there would be less (or even no) oxygen
    4. Trees are a permanent store for carbon
    5. Deforestation directly contributes to global warming
It all sounds very reasonable and plausible. But guess what? NONE OF IT IS TRUE. This is a very controversial thing to state, so let’s flesh out the details a little.  (Want to know more?  Click here.)

Shockingly enough, then, TREES COULD WELL BE TERRIBLE FOR THE ENVIRONMENT!!!.  The New York Times had an op-ed last year entitled:


In essence, trees absorb sunlight, which is bad.  Secondly, they release volatile organic compounds, leading to methane and ozone.  Third, what happens to a tree when it dies?  Upon decay all the stored carbon is subsequently released as carbon dioxide, and, worse, methane, which is, molecule for molecule, 25 times more dangerous than carbon dioxide.  At best, planting trees buys you a few years, but only to emit truly toxic Greenhouse gases.  

Amazingly enough, scientists are not absolutely convinced whether trees are good or bad for global climate change.  What is my attitude on this dilemma?  My SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth, published 8 years ago, reported on this problem.  Apparently, no one has since then taken a comprehensive look at this potential catastrophe!  Incredible.

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Friday, September 4, 2015

ABOUT SHEEP AND PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS


On opposing pages this morning in the Star-Advertiser were Donald Trump pledging his allegiance to the Republican Party and Chris, the long-lost Australian sheep.  I thought that would make a fine snarky Friday posting, comparing the hairdo of both:


Chris' 89 pounds of wool, also about his actual weight, is certainly a world record, for the average from one sheep in the U.S. is 7.3 pounds.  If I'm reading this right, a pound of just sheared wool costs around $35, so Chris' must be worth about $300.  Anyway, this wool can make 30 sweaters, which, then, increase the ultimate value.

However, after getting this far, I thought I would rescue the dignity of this blog site by citing current bookmaker's odds of our presidential candidates:
  • Democratic nomination:

Odds as of August 25 at Bovada
  • Hilary Clinton -700
  • Bernie Sanders +600
  • Joe Biden +800
  • Martin O'Malley +3300
  • Elizabeth Warren +3300
  • Jim Webb +5000
  • Lincoln Chafee +10000
  • Republican nomination:

  • Jeb Bush +150
  • Donald Trump +300
  • Scott Walker +600
  • Marco Rubio +600
  • Ben Carson +900
  • John Kasich +1000
  • Chris Christie +1500
  • Ted Cruz +1500
  • Rand Paul +2500
2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES
  • Odds as of August 25 at Bovada
    • Hillary Clinton +110
    • Jeb Bush +375
    • Donald Trump +700
    • Marco Rubio +1400
    • Scott Walker +1400
    • Bernie Sanders +1400
    • Joe Biden +1800
    • John Kasich +2500
    • Ted Cruz +3300
    • Ben Carson +3300
    • Chris Christie +5000
    • Carly Fiorina +5000
    • Elizabeth Warren +6600
    • Rand Paul +10000
    • Jim Webb +10000
    • Martin O'Malley +10000
    • Rick Perry +15000
    • Bobby Jindal +15000
    • Rick Santorum +15000
Here are what these numbers mean:
  • Say you are betting on the New York Jets (-500) against the New England Patriots (+350).
    • The minus sign means that team is favored.
    • Thus if you bet $500 on the Jets, you will win back your $500, plus $100, or $600 total.
    • The plus sign means this team is supposed to lose
    • Thus, if you bet $350, you will get back your $350, plus $100, or $450 total.
  • Say the Jets were even and Patriots +150:  betting $100 on the Jets would get you back a total of $200...bet $350, and you will return $700.

So, as far as who will be our next president, if you bet $100 on:
  • Hillary Clinton:  you will win $210
  • Jeb Bush:  $475
  • Donald Trump: $800
  • Bernie Sanders:  $1500
  • Joe Biden:  $1900
  • Chris Christie:  $5100
  • Rick Santorum:  $15100
In other words, ignore those e-mail issues, the rise of Sanders, those upcoming interminable presidential debates and Trump running as a third party candidate.  Hillary Clinton, as of August 25, is the overwhelming favorite to become the next POTUS (President Of The United States).


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Hurricane Jimena is weakening and projected to move north:


However, computer models show Jimena hooking left and leaning towards Kauai:


There is a very new disturbance, 98E, off Mexico, and this storm is expected to move in the direction of Hawaii.


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Thursday, September 3, 2015

ARE YOU READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL?

Sure, this blog site attempts to determine solutions for Planet Earth and Humanity, and I have for seven years mostly focused on renewable energy and the environment.  However, friends and readership statistics make me wonder if my postings on food/travel, entertainment and natural disasters are more popular, and I did publish a book (SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Humanity) on much of this  other stuff.  Do people read blogs to be educated or entertained?  But football?

Well, anyway, this is the first weekend for college football.  The National Football League season begins next week.  However, the hot news item of the day is Judge Richard Berman nullifying the 4-game suspension of New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (the taller guy).  Read that article for the details, but this ruling was an unanticipated but wildly cheered slap in the face of NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell and the team owners.  The league is run like a fascist state, with little regard for the players.  However, the fact of the matter is the Patriots are known for illegally deflating footballs because that is how Brady wants them and that Goodell was correct in imposing a severe penalty.  Further, the Patriots have previously been penalized for bending the rules.  But the NFL seems to almost unilaterally interpret these rules to their favor, and this judge's action will henceforth equalize the process.

The first week of any sports season is always time for optimism.  Colorado comes to Hawaii, and a good many home fans actually think Hawaii, a 7-point underdog, will actually win.  They could, but three of their next games are on the road agains Ohio State, Wisconsin and Boise State, all ranked, with Ohio State being #1 in the nation.  If Hawaii crushes Colorado--they won't, but, just in case--keep in mind that Ohio State plays a tough game against Virginia Tech on Monday night, giving Hawaii eight days to prepare, while Ohio State will only have four.  Unusual for the first weekend, but there are several excellent matches:
  • Wisconsin and Alabama at Arlington, Texas
  • Michigan at Utah
  • BYU at Nebraska
  • Texas at Notre Dame
  • Washington at Boise State
  • Stanford at Northwestern
  • Louisville at Auburn
  • Virginia at UCLA
  • Arizona State and Texas A&M in Houston
Tomorrow I plan to attend the Hawaii-Iowa women's volleyball game...and the start of my final around the world adventure is less than two weeks away.

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No ocean storm is threatening anything but ships at sea.

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Wednesday, September 2, 2015

TOPLESS SUNBATHING AT WAIKIKI

How's that for a provocative title?  With all the sewage potentially damaging the image of Waikiki Beach, I thought something less smelly was worth a shot.   Note the signs don't say why the beach is closed. Today I elaborate on three Hawaii headlines that titillate and confound.

First, yes, there are no laws prohibiting topless women in Hawaii.  Jamie and Tess Meier, University of Hawaii students to the left, were arrested at Waikiki beach, but for protesting without a permit.  Certainly, too, breast-feeding is perfectly fine.  Hawaii tries to believe that men and women are equal, which mostly explains why elected public officials have shied away from peering into this area.  The law is drawn at genitals, which cannot be exhibited by anyone to the general public.

Mind you, I've been to Ala Moana Beach (right) and Waikiki Beach hundreds of time and I have never seen any topless females.  Maybe I should adjust the above title.  Anyway, click on this to read an article identifying Hawaii beaches that are known to feature maybe more than just toplessness.  Interesting that the presentation begins with:

     Nudity is illegal at state beaches in Hawaii.

I guess nudity must mean no clothes. The Huffington Post has some beautiful photos of nude beaches, here to the left, Donkey Beach on Kauai.  If you've gotten this far, click on thisi mostly sanitized video of Little Beach, Makena, Maui, with some upbeat background music.

Changing subjects, when you read this headline, you would think our students are doing okay:


Further, if you clicked on the article, you'd be comforted to see:

“The improvements affirm our focus on supporting all students for success after high school,” schools Superintendent Kathryn Matayoshi said in a statement. “A sustained focus on college and career readiness is showing results for our students. We’re very pleased to see steady progress.”

However, something sounded fishy to me, so I went to the ACT (the current national college admissions exam for English, Mathematics, Reading and Science--the SAT tests reasoning and verbal abilities) page to compare how Hawaii did with other states:
  • We were the absolute WORST in the nation in Average Composite Score.
  • We were the absolute WORST in the nation in English, Reading and Science.
  • We beat Louisiana and Mississippi in Math.
Of course, our DOE has said most (90%) of our students take this test, while other states are more selective, plus, a good portion of our students are immigrants.  Still....

With all those hurricanes threatening Hawaii, ironically, it turns out we are here and there suffering from drought conditions, so a headline like the following sounds illogical:


Huh?  Well, what happens is that when a lot of rain falls in a limited time period, much of the water washes away.  Plus there is soil erosion.  So while we fear those Category 4 and 5 hurricanes which head our way--and we're up to number 9 this season, Jimena--farmers agonize as these storms suddenly turn north or south, and they get little to no rain.

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Hurricane Jimena remains strong at 110 MPH, but all projections show a turn north away from the Hawaiian Islands:


There is another new storm east of Jimena, but that tropical depression will head for Baja.

I continue to be intrigued by Hurricane Kilo, no, now it's called Typhoon Kilo, which has weakened into a Category 1, but will soon zoom up to Category 4 status and head towards Japan:


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Tuesday, September 1, 2015

NEXTERA CONTINUES TO WANT HAWAIIAN ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES

Nine months ago NextEra, headquartered in Florida, indicated an intent to purchase Hawaiian Electric Industries for $4.3 billion.


HEI stock initially jumped, but like the rest of the stock market, has recently dropped.  The market cap of HEI is $3 billion, while that of NextEra is $43 billion, where only Duke Energy is larger.  HEI has a production capacity of around 1800 MW, while NextEra is close to 50,000 MW.

Consumer Advocate Jeff Ono and Governor David Ige have both expressed opposition to the sale.  The Public Utilities Commission will soon pass judgement, where public rejection was almost universal.  Of course, the PUC takes signals from the Governor, so the outcome seems obvious, unless some significant back-door discussions are occurring to work out a compromise...which no doubt are occurring, for today NextEra provided 50 new commitments.

Renewable energy advocates from Florida, who are not particularly happy about the attitude of this major utility, have been sending me regular reports about this company.  The issue is actually debatable.  I am among the few in the state sympathetic to the views of NextEra.  The cost of solar photovoltaic electricity depends on the scale.  NextEra believes it can do it cheaper with solar farms, while the media and masses want independence with rooftop panels.  The fact of the matter is that NextEra has a good point.  The following was published by investment bank Lazard last year:
Plant Type ( USD/MWh)LowHigh
Solar PV-Rooftop Residential180265
Solar PV-Rooftop C&I126177
Solar PV-Crystalline Utility Scale7286
Solar PV-Thin Film Utility Scale7286
Clearly, utility-scale PV is a lot more cost effective than residential PV.

I think Hawaii needs NextEra more than the reverse.  They have deep utility pockets and can take more chances with riskier sustainable energy ventures.  Clearly, they see an advantage in being part of our state.  It will not be easy, for many just won't want anything like this 250 MW PV farm from California in their backyard, but I see the following occurring or not over the next decade or two:
  • Undersea electricity cables linking all the Hawaiian Islands, except for Kauai.
  • Large wind and solar farms on Lanai, Molokai and the Big Island.
  • More than 100 MW of geothermal power from the Big Island, and, maybe even Maui.
  • Perhaps a 10 MW OTEC plantship off Honolulu, if not 100 MW.
  • I don't think we will get close to 100% renewable electricity by 2030.
However, if most of the above occur, Hawaii will be well on our way to energy independence, and NextEra can take credit for being a progressive utility.  Why this can work here is that our electricity  rates are three times the national average.  Thus, all of these renewable options can best be commercialized here first.  No other state can make that claim.  The process of getting there will take people working together to make it happen.

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Hurricane Ignacio is methodically moving away from Hawaii, while Hurricane Jimena, with wind gusts up to 150 MPH, is also expected to move north and miss the state:


I must bring up Hurricane Kilo again, located west of Hawaii, and continuing to move further west.  While only a Category 2 today, all signs show Kilo strengthening into a Category 4 and heading in the general direction of Japan.  I don't ever recall a hurricane from Hawaii becoming a typhoon and striking Japan:


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