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Wednesday, February 8, 2012

WHAT IN THE WORLD IS HAPPENING TODAY?

Actually, nothing much is happening today, or in the past.  February 8 means we have 328 days left in the year, and historically:

  -  In either 563BC or 486 BC or 383 BC, either this day or February 15, Buddha attained Nirvana upon his death at the age of 80.  I wonder who determined this.  

-  The College of William and Mary (Williamsburg, Virginia) was founded in 1693.  Bet you didn't know universities were here in the USA so early.



  -  In 1855, the Devil's Footprints appeared in Devon (UK).  As I said, it's a slow day, and if you like to follow the Mayan Doomsday (21December2012), which you just saw as a Super Bowl ad, this one is at the same level of probability.


  -  Elizabeth II is proclaimed Queen in 1952.  Just scroll down to the next posting for details, first traipsing past the dragon girl.

  -  The first eight stars were officially laid on Hollywood Boulevard.  No big deal because they were just 8 out of 1550 picked by lottery.  The amazing thing is that I was working at the Naval Civil Engineering Laboratory in Oxnard, California in the summer of 1958, on my way to Stanford the following month, when I just happened to be cruising by the street on August 15 of that (1958) year when those STARS were actually placed.  The official ceremonies took place a year and a half later.

  -  The NASDAQ opens in 1971.  

There are a couple of memorable tidbits today.  Rick Santorum performed an incredible hat trick and  now leads Mitt Romney, four states to three.  Remember, this is the guy who, in his last election, lost his U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania.  This is a shocker, and continues the Republican Primary nightmare. 

As I write this, the Dow Jones Industrials are at 12,882, a three and a half year high.  I only buy when the market crashes, so I have been waiting for that moment since March of 2009.

Syria's President Bashar Assad is hanging on by a Russian toenail.  Approximately 6000 have been killed since March of last year.

After nearly two millennia, the Catholic Church held its first (well, maybe they did this before and no one knew about it) announced seminar in Rome on clerical sexual abuse, attended by Bishops from a hundred countries.  Why?  Just one judgement of $100 million against a retired Miami priest a couple of months ago is but the tip of the iceberg.  Click on this list just for the USA.  Yes, it is worldwide, has been ongoing since time immemorial, and, as my religion chapter from SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Humanity indicates, Catholicism is not the only religion.

If you've been following my blog, you will have noted my current focus on high blood pressure.  Well, apparently, Americans ingest the most salt daily from breads and rolls.  Certainly, cold cuts, cured meats, pizza, Kentucky Fired Chicken type products, soups, Burger King type hamburgers and cheese are also bad, bad, bad.  Interesting, but potato chips are way down the list.  Anyway, why live if you must avoid them.  The lesson, of course, is to enjoy all the above, but in moderation.

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Stock market, etc., to follow.

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Wow, Tropical Cyclone Jasmine is skirting past New Caledonia at 130 MPH and is significantly affecting Vanuatu today:



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Tuesday, February 7, 2012

THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO AND PRINCE ANDREW


1.  How is the Girl With the Dragon Tattoo related to the 2012 Super Bowl Champs?

Rooney Mara's paternal great grandfather is Tim Mara, founder of the the New York Giants, and her maternal great grandfather, Art Rooney, founded the Pittsburgh Steelers--thus her name, Rooney Mara.  A lot of Super Bowl Champs in her family.

2.  Who is Flight Lieutenant Wales?

He is better known as Prince Andrew.  His grandmother Elizabeth II, just celebrated 60 years as Queen.  Her great-great grandmother, Victoria, served almost 64 years.


3.  What is the relationship between Prince Andrew and Rooney Mara? There is none.

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Monday, February 6, 2012

IS THERE HOPE FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY?

Well, yes, for windpower (above, Maui Electric's Kaheawa Pastures Wind Farm) appears to be doing okay, and both geothermal and hydropower are reasonably cost effective.  Those government incentives, especially in Germany (although they are seriously declining), have served to support a growing solar market.

You would think, though, that all these options would be going wild in Hawaii where our electricity price is three times (33 cents/kWh) that of the Nation (11 cents/kWh).  But, no, windpower is being protested and geothermal (left from Puna Geothermal Ventures), after more than a third of a century of languishment, is finally beginning to get some public support.  Conversely, plug-in electric cars make no sense here, for they are having problems on the mainland at one-third the cost our electricity.

This is a gloomy (it's actually raining in Honolulu) day, so let me further share with you some discouraging news from the latest issue of WIRED:

1.  Solar:  One hour of sunlight on Earth can power the world for a year.  Yet, in 2010 the solar industry predicted solar employment of 500,000 in 2016.  Not sure what I'm reading, but I see 100,000 as now probable.  Part of the reason is that solar cells from China have destroyed American production.  I ask, how attractive will it be when all government incentives expire?  Germany is beginning to do this.  I further find this hard to believe, but I just learned that if your utility company goes down, say, from a hurricane, your photovoltaic roof system stops functioning, even at noon.  I'll have to look into this.

2.  Wind:  We have enough winds to produce twelve times our usage.  Apparently, though, the low natural gas prices and NIMBY are slowing growth.  There is then that added wheeling requirement, that is, as wind farms get larger, they are farther and farther away from the population base, and who pays for the lines?  This could double the price of wind electricity.  In the UK, offshore wind power costs twice as much as from fossil fuels.  Also, too, both our Sun and winds are intermittent, and storage costs are outrageously high.

3.  Algae:  These microorganisms can be 30 times more efficient than terrestrial biofuel crops.  There are 33 challenges, ranging from environmental to technological to political, that will take some time for this concept to become affordable and scalable.  My blog postings have also tended to be hopeful but, maybe too realistic.

4.  Fuel cells:  Hydrogen fuel cells have zero emission, and hydrogen is the most abundant element in the Universe.  However, fuel cell companies have all lost money and hydrogen is too expensive, with any  infrastructure decades away.  I have been advocating the direct methanol fuel cell and can't seem to convince anyone important.

5.  Batteries:  The promise is zero emission vehicles.  The reality is that most of the electricity will continue to come from coal for many more decades.  Batteries will remain expensive, and the lithium battery is the last battery.  Hawaii is worse off, for our electricity costs three times that of the Nation and ours comes mostly from oil (nationally, only around 1% of electricity is generated from oil, with about 50% from coal).  To the left is the Toyota Prius Hybrid.

6.  Cellulosic biofuels:  Biofuels from the fiber not from food (such as ethanol from corn).  The problem is that a cellulosic ethanol plant costs four times more than from corn.  Worse, ethanol is not the ideal fuel from terrestrial biomass.  Methanol is more cost effective.  But there is no direct methanol fuel cell because the Farm Lobby prevented the Department of Energy from pursuing this development.

7.  Smart meters:  Replacing analog with digital meters would be more effective and efficient.  There is slow progress, and smarter grids are being developed.

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The Dow Jones Industrials slipped 17 to 12,845, with Europe down and rest of the world mixed.  Gold fell $5/toz to $1721, with the WTI Cushing at $97/barrel and the Brent Spot at $116/battery, almost a $20 differential.

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Here it is early February, and there is already a minor disturbance in the general vicinity of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean:


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Hold on.  The Sun is now peeking out.  Maybe there is hope for Planet Earth and Humanity:


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Sunday, February 5, 2012

JAPAN HAS MORE THREE STAR MICHELIN RESTAURANTS THAN FRANCE!

Today is consumed by the Super Bowl.  As I will be watching the commercials (I actually had 15 fantasy sport teams two years ago, but none today, and will return to this competition perhaps later this year) I thought I'd explore the other end of the food spectrum, my current passion.

The Michelin guide first made an appearance in 1900.  Remember, now, this is a French tire company, although it is probably known as much today for its travel guides, such as this one of Japan, and, in particular, their restaurant ratings.  The highest achievement possible is 3 stars.  At one time, France, of course, dominated.  Beginning last year, France only had 25 3-star restaurants, while Japan rose to 29, for the first time attaining #1 status.  Japan?  Yes, but another new cuisine capital exists in the region around Barcelona, Spain.  Spain?  Yes, and the best one of all, elBulli, closed for a couple of years because the chef decided to take a sabbatical.


Another epicurean standard I subscribe to is the Pellegrino list of best 50 restaurants (actually, they go up to 100).  If you read this blog, you will have experienced these eating  palaces the world over.  #1 is Noma, shown above and to the left.  I was so dressed because this steeple of excellence is located in Copenhagen and not easy to find.  

Towards the end of my meal there this busboy-type came by to serve my entre and chatted for a couple of minutes.  Nice guy, I thought.  Well, it turned out he was the chef, Rene, now known as the best chef in the world.  He has his right arm over me below:


That was two years ago and both he and his restaurant at that time were #2, to Ferran Adria and elBulli,  which will re-open in 2014 as a creativity center, or culinary think tank.

France does not make this Pellegrino list until #9 with Chateaubriand, while Spain has three of the top ten and the USA has two, Alinea (#3, Chicago) and Per Se (#10, New York).  D.O.M. of Sao Paulo is #7, and, of course, I just had to try it, and you can read about my experience, especially so because I had just flown overnight (almost 12 hours) from London and only had a chance to drop my bag off at the hotel before rushing here.  I mostly have lunches when possible, as I'm almost afraid to go out at night in foreign cities these days.  I was almost nauseous when I entered D.O.M. (stands for Dominus Optimo Maximo, home of the best and greatest), and left high and happy.  The next day I went to Mani (#74), which was similarly spectacular, with truly fine service.  Compared with San Francisco (#75, Coi) and Los Angeles (#85, The Bazaar), with only one, Sao Paulo has three and Lima, Peru has two (read about my meals at #42 Astrid Y Gason (left with Rosalia and  Leonid) and #87 Malabar).  French Laundry, in Yountville, is #56, and has 3 Michelin stars.

In April I will be in Tokyo and will attempt to dine at #12 Les Creations de Narisawa (but probably won't because they don't sit a table for one.  I guess I could find someone to join me.) and #20 Nihonryori RyuGin.  I have a reservation at their third (only three from Japan in the top 100), #90 Kitcho, but their Tokyo branch (headquarters in Kyoto) only sits by invitation, requiring my stay at the Hotel Seiyo in Ginza, which houses this restaurant.  Kitcho (right) has 3 Michelin stars, but I suspect those stars mostly apply to their Kyoto site.  In Tokyo there is another Kitcho at the Imperial Hotel, but is not as "fancy."

I stayed at this super luxury hotel Seiyo when it first opened in 1987.  I got "special" rates, which made it affordable.  Created by Seiji Tsutsumi, whose younger brother Yoshiaki, at one time the richest man in the world and recently convicted of financial improprieties, the more stable older brother was nevertheless deemed nuts for building this hotel.  It probably remains as the most extravagant place I've stayed in my life (only 77 rooms--and, truly, everyone knows your name wherever you go--a bit eerie), and I'm looking forward to seeing how it has changed in a quarter century.  During this period I was negotiating with Seiji's staff to have him bankroll a geothermal drilling operation on the slopes of Haleakala to provide the hot water for a possible competing onsen hotel next to the Makena Prince, then owned by Yoshiaki.  Just another of my bright ideas on the order of Royal Hawaiian Colored Pearls and the Blue Revolution.  Some day, one or more these will attain reality.

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Saturday, February 4, 2012

50 YEARS SINCE WE BEGAN


The above photo is what they do when four engineers who first met half a century ago, three in their first jobs, get old and decide to have a reunion.  We semi-permanently damaged the Waikele Golf Course and celebrated with a feast in the clubhouse.  For the record, Ed on the left and I got crushed by Dante and Donald.

After graduating from Stanford University in 1962, my first job was a trainee with C. Brewer (Charles Brewer, right), the oldest company in Hawaii, at the sugar processing factory of the Hutchinson Sugar Company in Honuapo, next to Naalehu, the Southernmost Community in the USA.  In the daytime, there was no TV nor radio.  This region was  isolated.  I met my wife, Pearl, here in Kau and we got married that year.  Both C. Brewer and Hutchinson no longer exist.


Dante Carpenter had just joined Hutch, also in 1962, after being commissioned from the Merchant Marine Academy at Kingspoint, then spending some time with Pacific Marine and a couple of other sugar plantations.  We shared the same office for several years.  He later went on to become a State Senator and Mayor of the Big Island.  He is now chairman of the Democratic Party of Hawaii.  He has four children with Olan, all very successful, from a college volleyball coach to a medical doctor.  I taught one of his sons, Darren, at the University of Hawaii.

Donald Okahara (to the left) had just graduated from Oregon State University and was an engineer with C. Brewer in Hilo.  He made frequent trips to Kau.  For several decades now he has been the president of Okahara and Associates.  His two daughters are also doing very well in the community, one a doctor.  The factory superintendent at Hutch was Ed Lui, and his son, Ed Lui (right), had just graduated from Purdue University, and was a trainee with C. Brewer at the Paahau Sugar Company.  Six years later, we were chemical engineering graduate students at Louisiana State University, and his greatest achievement in Baton Rouge was an 8 pound big mouth bass.  He went on to have an illustrious career with a range of companies, including Hawaiian Electric, and is now a director of  Keahole Solar Power.  His daughter is a lawyer and son makes a million dollars/year.

The evening ended for some of us at:


Hi, Julie and Yumi.  This was the best reunion I've ever had.

Then the next day, I joined my Saturday regulars at the Ala Wai Golf Course:


Carleton Taketa (retired State government official), Eddie Chiu (active SGO), Art Seki or Hawaiian Electric and Ed Cheng (retired University of Hawaii professor).  We were hopelessly pathetic, but had fun, anyway.

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Friday, February 3, 2012

THE DAY THE MUSIC DIED

THIS IS ONE OF THOSE POSTINGS YOU JUST NEED TO CLICK ON THE LINKS!!!


After a gig in Clearlake, Iowa (memorial, left), Charles Hardin "Buddy" Holley got tired of a run-down bus of the 24-day, 24-town Winter Dance Party tour, so hired a charter plane to take him and his crew to Fargo, North Dakota (the closest airport to Moorehead, Minnesota, the next show).  Waylon Jennings, the bass player, gave his place to 17-year old Ritchie Valens (below, left--you might have seen "La Bamba") because he was suffering from a cold, while Tommy Allsup, the guitarist, flipped a coin and lost for the remaining seat with J.P. "The Big Bopper" Richardson (below right, Chantilly Lace).  Holley jokingly remarked to Jennings, "I hope your ol' bus freezes up!"  To which Jennings retorted, facetiously, "Well, I hope your ol' plane crashes!"  He went on to become a country superstar, and to his deathbed a decade ago was haunted by his statement.


It was, indeed, a dark and stormy (and snowy) night when the Beech Bonanza, piloted by 21-year old Roger Peterson, who had already flown 17 hours that day, took off soon after midnight on February 3, 1959.  I remember the day as a freshman at Stanford.  Eddie Cochran the day after the crash recorded Three Stars.  In 1971, Don McLean paid a tribute to the three in American Pie, from which came, "the day the music died."

Eerily, Buddy Holley recorded "That'll Be the Day," about his death in 1958.  The title came from John Wayne in The Searchers.  The Beatles, then known as the Quarrymen, used this song as their original demonstration record.  Holley had a huge influence over the Rolling Stones, Bobby Dilon and Eric Clapton.

The Dow Jones Industrials Shot up 157 to 12,862, while except for Japan, all major world markets also increased.  Gold sunk $31/toz to $1726, with the WTI Cushing now up to $98/barrel, and Dated Brent Spot at $114/barrel, a $16/barrel difference.

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Thursday, February 2, 2012

AN UPDATE ON LOWERING YOUR BLOOD PRESSURE AND LOW DENSITY LIPOPROTEIN


It has been a month since I began to track my blood pressure.  Click on

  -  A SIMPLE SOLUTION FOR HIGH BLOOD PRESSURE

and

  -  HOW TO LOWER YOUR BLOOD PRESSURE

My normal blood pressure is 135/85, but can drop to 115/65 under certain conditions, as will be explained.  Using my body as the test animal, here are the results after 150 measurements.:

1.  Excessive salt increases my pressure.  This was expected, and the key is the term excessive.  But recent studies seem to say that sodium can be neutralized by potassium.  Thus, a little salt on a banana or sweet potato might not be all that bad, I guess.  Tuna is also good.  These foods are high in potassium.  Thus, maybe sashimi with some hot mustard and shoyu might almost balance, as long as the shoyu is minimized.  Whew, I like sashimi, and until reading this article, was sacrificing too much.  Leafy vegetables and nuts are also good for potassium, plus also magnesium, which relaxes your blood vessels.

2. My pressure jumps even more when I am really hungry.  Readings of 170/95 are possible.

3.  There seems to be an inverse relationship between pulse rate and blood pressure, that is, my typical measurements are 125/75 when my pulse rate ranges from 80-90, and 140/90 when the pulse rate is 50/minute, the norm when I wake up.

4.  The pressure increases when I need to use the bathroom.

5.  Thus, when I wake up in the morning, my blood pressure is high (140/90), and logically so because I need to discharge impurities from both ends, my pulse rate (50) is low and I am hungry.  In fact, anyone is  most susceptible to a heart attack or stroke upon awakening.

6.  My pressures rise when I write a tense e-mail or participate in a stressful meeting.  As high as 165/90.  I'm glad I retired.  Why I keep responding to these e-mails and participating in these discussions is so illogical.  Clearly, I really should eat, golf, drink and watch TV, only.

7.  My pressure drops a bit when I am walking on a golf course.  Part of this is because my pulse rate increases to 85 or so.  In any case, regular exercise lowers blood pressure.

8.  I've checked with scotch, red wine and white wine every fifteen minutes for two hours.  In all cases, my pressure tended to drop at least 10 points on the high side and 5-8 on the low.  Pulse rate goes up a small bit.  I should add one more compelling factor.  When I took a blood test after a week of no alcohol, the high density lipoprotein and tri-glycerides were stable, but my low density lipoprotein jumped ten points.  One such reading is no confirmation, but good enough for me to drink with limited abandon.

9.  After walking 18 holes and taking a long bath with some alcoholic drink, my blood pressure tends to drop to 120/75, and even lower.  My pulse rate ranges between 80 and 90.

Most of the above includes taking 6.25 mg (I cut the pill in half) of Avalide 300 every morning.  I haven't quite tried taking the whole pill for a long period, but limited measurements suggest that my blood pressure is at least a few points lower on both the systolic (high) and diastolic (low) with the doctor's prescribed full pill.  I will someday soon try a month of 12.5 mg, but my logic is that half works (and has for a decade) and more can only impact my liver and kidneys.

Here is something really interesting, though.  There are various kinds of hypertension pills:   calcium channel blockers (which can bring on headaches), ACE (click on this for details, including what ACE stands for) inhibitors (can cause a nasty cough), beta blockers (higher incidence of heart attacks and strokes) and diuretics (but 23% higher incidence of heart attacks, and partly because this flushes the good magnesium and potassium out of your body).  Avalide is a combination of an angiotensin II receptor blocker (enlarges blood vessels, but there are various side effects too numerous to mention) and a diuretic.  Thus, these high blood pressure pills all have numerous negative repercussions, the primary reason why I take half a pill (plus, I do save a few bucks/month).

My life has dramatically been changed by this white rat experience.  While I continue to drink more alcoholic drinks than I really should (cartoon on the left from The New Yorker), I do use less salt, add more potassium and magnesium to my diet, and avoid  getting too hungry.  For example, at one time I walked 18 holes and only drank water, partly for the exercise, but also to lose weight.  I now have small amounts of fiber gummy bears (sugars are supposed to raise blood pressure, but this food additive neutralizes the more dominant hunger factor) , dried fruits and low salt nuts.  I am also very careful upon awakening, and without much delay, have a quarter apple or half a papaya to minimize hunger.

Of course, I add, again, that this is my body.  Yours could well be materially different.  Check with your doctor before following my solutions to overcome hypertension and high LDL.  For sure, I certainly don't recommend drinking copious amounts of ethanol.

Oh, for all of you in those parts of the world that suffer from something called Winter, Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow today, so no doubt you will excruciate from six more weeks of cold discomfort.  I close with Groundhog Day, one of my favorite movie, for I've found that my life closely resembles the drift of this film.  Every day I wake up is the same, but better.

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The Dow Jones Industrials slipped 11 to 12,705, with most world markets up.  Gold increased $7/toz to $1757, while the European Brent Spot is stable at $112/barrel, with the American WTI Cushing dropping to $96/barrel, now a $16/barrel differential.  Is it the crummy European economy or worry about Israel doing something overt about Iran this Spring?  Incredibly, Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta said so today:




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Wednesday, February 1, 2012

JAPAN'S ENERGY CRISIS


I received a visit today from, left to right above, Aya Matsune of CORE (D.C.), Chihiro Terasawa of the Mitsubishi Research Institute and Yasuyuki Ikegami of Saga University (IOES lab to the left) to gain my insights into the future renewable energy opportunities for Japan.  They also wanted to know what Hawaii was doing about developing sustainable resources.

Our combined feelings were that Hawaii was ideal for expanding the use of these options--high energy costs, progressive leadership and availability of abundant natural resources--but mystifyingly, we are not doing much about it.  A lot of talk, but no meaningful action.

 Through the discussion, the following thoughts formed in my mind:

1.  Hawaii's renewable energy efforts are lagging because there is very little industry, a practically bankrupt state and a nation still in an economic slump.  However, our potential is limitless, while that of Japan is limited.  They have meager sunlight, marginal winds, mostly low temperature geothermal, no worthy biomass options on land and a paralyzed nuclear industry.  It is possible that in a very short while, the three remaining nuclear power facilities (54 total--which once provided 25% of the power-- still in operation will shut down), and, unless the local governments relent, the country will suffer this coming summer.

2.  Japan is not only limited, they are in real trouble:

    a.  The Fukushima earthquake/tsunami/nuclear disaster was as game-changing as were Hiroshima, Nagasaki and being on losing side of World War II.  The country needs to re-invent itself.

    b.  Their immediate concern is electricity, for consumers expect the lights to turn on now.  No doubt they will import in more oil ( and other liquid/gaseous fossil fuels, 50% of energy usage) and coal, but with a coming carbon tax, that will only exacerbate their precarious future.  Clearly, those resting nuclear powerplants will be restarted, as they have no other option.  However, as admirable as might be the crusade of Masayoshi Son (left) to promote solar, it will be difficult for the renewables to contribute much to their energy balance.  Perhaps he can be encouraged to consider the Blue Revolution for the long term future of the country.

    c.  Further, if solar and wind are priorities for Japan, these intermittent sources can only be accepted up to 20% of the total power.  As electricity is one third of all energy utilized, this means that these classical green technologies will only supply at most 10% of their needs.   What will they do about the 90%?

    d.  There is very little hope for electricity from the seas:

        1)  tidal power (not much)
        2)  current power (unknown)
        3)  wavepower (prone to destruction by storms, and, if you well protect it, the economics are ruined), and
        4)  ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC, any large plantship, say even 100 MW, will be too far away from Kyushu to cable the electricity)

My dire prediction is that the people of Japan will suffer from really hot summers (fans are okay, but not as cool as air conditioning) and very cold winters (heating will become extemely expensive), for even with global warming, snow covers much of Honshu today.  Industrial production will further lag for all this discomfort, spurring greater export of manufacturing.

In the long term, though, the ocean is Japan's future.  That is Shimizu's Green Float concept to the right.

There, too, is fusion, but that is 50 years away, at best.  The Blue Revolution powered by OTEC can add biofuels, hydrogen, ammonia, seafood, biopharmaceuticals, green chemicals and much more to their economy.  Maybe someday energy can be microwaved by bouncing the beam off a satellite.  Their lagging shipping industry can be resurrected by building grazing plantships, not only for OTEC, but perhaps too for floating windfarms.

Japan has the opportunity, thus, to take the leading role in something again:  the Blue Revolution.  They could become the primary partner for the Pacific International Ocean Station of Blue Revolution Hawaii.  They could start by identifying the ideal billionaire to help fund this marine equivalent of the International Space Station, which is being abandoned.  I suggested to the visiting group that the governments of Japan and the USA are just not progressive enough to undertake this mission.  A possible meeting is being considered for April 24 in Tokyo to discuss these prospects.

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The Dow Jones Industrials jumped 84 to 12,716, with all world stock markets also up.  However, Amazon.com sunk almost 8% on lower earnings.  The market went up, though, because good news are expected from Greece.  Gold increased $8/toz to $1744, with the WTI oil at $97/barrel and Brent Spot at $112/barrel.

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