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Saturday, August 30, 2008

PROS AND CONS OF GLOBAL WARMING (Part 6)

The following is excerpted from Chapter 5 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth.
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At 2PM on July 25, 2005, I typed “global climate warming” in Google and saw:

o Three Views on Global Climate Warming: (National Public Radio, Morning edition)

---§ Richard Alley (Penn State University Glaciologist): Ice cores show that global climate warming is real. “In a way we were scared silly because I think we knew this said the world is not as easy, not as predictable, as we hoped that it is.”

---§ John Christy (University of Alabama Climatologist): Global climate warming isn’t a problem worth worrying about. “If dealing with [climate change] causes wealthy countries to lose wealth because of higher costs for energy, then the Third World would find itself in worse shape.”

---§ Wallace Broecker (Columbia University Oceanographer): Advocates a far-out scheme to slow global climate warming: “We’re playing with the whole planet, dammit, just to get energy for a hundred years.”

o Ice ages linked to galactic position, as for example, when our solar system passes through a spiral arm, cosmic rays fall to Earth, forming large droplets of water vapor, thus, cooling the atmosphere.

o Kyoto Pact—Much Ado About Nothing: In a Philadelphia Church of God publication, the title says it all, and further that the treaty is unworkable.

o Methane’s Effect On Climate Change May Be Twice Previous Estimates: The concentration of methane in the atmosphere can be misleading as it is a reactive gas, and, unlike carbon dioxide, which is unreactive, has a much greater effect on global climate than would be expected by after the fact measurements.

o RTD info bores into polar research ice cores show that global climate warming most definitely is occurring

o Newsmaker interview with Fred Singer, aka the godfather of global warming denial: Global climate warming is not occurring and that the sea level has been rising for 18,000 years by about 400 feet and is continuing to increase at a uniform rate of 8 inches per century.

o Global warming – Time to act on climate change is now: U.S. President George W. Bush takes his cue from industry and refuses to admit mankind is entering a new and dangerous era as global temperature is fuelled by man-made greenhouse gasses. Yet, the impacts are already being felt, and it would be foolish of the Irish Government to ignore the advice of its own marine experts.

To tally: one against global climate change, two for; our climate is cooling; the Kyoto pact is a waste of time; methane could be more serious than we thought; yes, it is occurring; nope, it is not occurring; and yes, and we need to act now. So in the mid-summer of 2006, 2007 and 2008 I typed the same into Google box and got all—twenty out of twenty each year—concerned about the seriousness of global warming. What a dramatic change in so short a period! In Part 7 we will go back in time to illuminate what has happened only recently regarding public attitudes toward global climate warming.
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Hurricane Gustav tore through Cuba, causing considerable damage, weakened, but still at 140 MPH, now in the Gulf of Mexico, should strengthen to 155 MPH (a hurricane reaches Category 5 at 156 MPH) or so, then slightly weaken before most probably challenging New Orleans around noon on Labor Day. Here's hoping that the Army Corps did their job. However, the protective system supposedly can withstand storms only up to Category 3 (111-130 MPH). Hurricane Katrina was only a Category 3, and fortunately hit east of New Orleans, veering further east. This means that the winds will come from the exact opposite direction. First, Katrina brought only minor wind damage. Gustav's will be much stronger and will most affect those levees south and east of New Orleans. Gustav will most probably reach landfall slightly west of New Orleans, so, further, the city will face the full brunt of the storm surge. Oh my! However, there is a chance that the eye will pass sufficiently west that the city could be spared, further aiding Baton Rouge, where many escapees are staying with family and friends. Two scary dimensions, though, are that the diameter of Gustav is about 440 miles and growing, and the latest prognostication is the eye hitting Louisiana 70 miles west of New Orleans, and second, these storms generally turn slightly east near the coastline. WHILE STILL BEING DEBATED BY SCIENTISTS, I'M AFRAID GLOBAL CLIMATE WARMING WILL ONLY MEAN MORE FEROCIOUS STORMS.
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Oh, Tropical Storm Hanna is still loitering on the Atlantic side of Florida. At 50 MPH, Hanna is expected to move north up the Florida coast (although one model has the storm hitting Cuba) and within five days attaining almost hurricane status. Then what next? Not sure.
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