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Wednesday, July 27, 2022

SOLUTION TO GLOBAL WARMING: The Ocean

President Joe Biden tested negative for COVID-19.  The four shots and Paxlovid worked well.

Authorities don't know how best to de-stigmatize Monkeypox, but:


The global monkeypox outbreak appears to mostly affect men who have sex with other men. A study published in the New England Journal of Medicine found that 98% of people diagnosed with the virus between April and June in more than a dozen countries identify as gay or bisexual men, and the WHO says that 99% of U.S. cases are related to male-to-male sexual contact.


Maybe the best policy is to just focus on this community.


As of a week ago there were 14,000 cases and only 5 deaths.  While in the past monkeypox had a 5% mortality rate, the strain that is currently dominating has a much lower death rate, similar to COVID-19 before vaccinations.  There is a vaccine, and if given within four days of exposure, protects about 85% of the time.  There are also antivirals and immunoglobulins to treat the disease.

The July 11th TIME magazine was a special issue about the ocean, mostly by Elijah Wolfson and Tom Vanderbilt.  The former head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Jane Lubchenco, is quoted:

It’s time to stop thinking of the ocean as a victim of climate change and start thinking of it as a powerful part of the solution.


In short:

  • The bottom of the Pacific Ocean is littered with rare earth metals.
  • The tides can be harnessed.
  • Offshore wind farms are poised to expand exponentially.
  • Maritime shipping is on the verge of being decarbonized.
  • There is a plug for mangroves, salt marshes and seagrasses to sequester CO2.
  • There was a lot more, but there was no sense that all these options can develop better if linked as a total system solution.
So I checked on the background of Elijah Wolfson:
  • American writer and editor, covering health and science for Time.
  • Studied rhetoric and creative writing at Cal-Berkeley.
  • Noted for his work on child abuse.
What about Tom Vanderbilt?
  • American journalist blogger with expertise in traffic, as in transportation.
  • Was a contestant on Jeopardy.
My gripe is that the subject matter is fine, and individual contributions okay.  But these two authors in particular, and the overall Time editor, missed a golden opportunity to make a huge difference for the Blue Revolution.

For those familiar with this blog site, I need say no more.  Those new to this field, watch my TEDx talk of December 2021, a podcast on the Blue Revolution of 2020 and another presentation, this one a decade ago, given to the Seasteading Institute.


Why am I more qualified to address this matter of the ocean as a powerful part of the solution to global warming?

  • PhD in biochemical engineering.
  • When I worked for the U.S. Senate, drafted the original hydrogen and ocean energy thermal conversion legislation that became law.
  • Directed the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute at the University of Hawaii for 15 years.
  • As deep seabed rare earth metals are mentioned above, I also was the lead staff in the U.S. Senate on this subject, and HNEI was the national center on this subject for the Department of Interior.
  • Assisted in creating the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research, and hired the engineers who built and tested the 210 kW open-cycle OTEC facility at the Natural Laboratory of Hawaii Authority on the Big Island.
    • An international partnership to provide an opportunity for the private sector to embark on a geoengineering solution to remediate global warming, while developing and marketing sustainable products in harmony with the marine environment.

As much as I am most definitely griping and heaping disrespect on capable writers, I've too miserably failed.  No luck in finding an imaginative billionaire to, with his friends, fund the Blue Revolution.  Not only these three, for there are around 2700 billionaires in the world.  The USA has 724 and China 698.  Help!

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Tuesday, July 26, 2022

NEW DELHI TO MUNICH TO BARCELONA

 From NBC News:


New satellite images from NASA show how Lake Mead's shoreline has mineralized and the water level has fallen over the past 22 years. It now sits at just 27% capacity. The largest reservoir in the country, on the Nevada-Arizona border, is nearly unrecognizable, a “stark illustration of climate change,” according to NASA.

Read the full story here.


What is particularly frightening is the change from 2021 to 2022.  The lake actually filled to capacity in 1983 and 1999.  However, today the level equals the lowest point since April of 1937 when it was first being filled.  According to NASA:

The largest reservoir in the United States supplies water to millions of people across seven states, tribal lands, and northern Mexico. It now also provides a stark illustration of climate change and a long-term drought that may be the worst in the U.S. West in 12 centuries.


Today is nostalgia day, and I again insert two postings from an around the world trip I started on 17 January 2010.  I quote from my blog that day:

Today, I begin my journey. I will visit Seoul, Hanoi and other parts of Vietnam, Cambodia, Chiang Mai and Bangkok in Thailand, New Delhi, Barcelona, Munich, Helsinki, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, London, DC, New York City, Las Vegas and Los Angeles. I will keep you informed.)


The New Delhi stop was especially noteworthy, reporting on my entry into India.  The title tells the whole story:

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INDIA SUCKS…*


…so far. This should get some reaction from my India readership, for, yes, I'm really disappointed at my treatment going through customs. Please comment on how I might more easily pass through the next time. SHOULD I BE WORRIED ABOUT LEAVING YOUR COUNTRY???


The flight from Bangkok was enjoyable. The plane lands on time, I pick up my bags and get sent to another baggage check area, where they find my computer. I am asked, how much is this worth? I say $2000. The customs officer says, I need to pay duty. No sense continuing this discussion, for the drill is that they find something to charge you extra, so I coolly give him the equivalent of $100 (surreptitiously, under the table….really!), for that is just the price of a typical dinner on this trip. He offers me tea, I say no thanks, and he ooshes me on, but as I’m about to exit the customs area, another officer notices that I have $5000 of cash indicated on the form, which he says has to be taxed. Without argument I pass on another $20 and move on. I suspect $20 would have sufficed for the first guy. This is reminiscent of Cairo, another nightmare, found in Chapter 6 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth.


But I’m smarter this time. I find the booth to pre-pay the taxi company. Don't even think about just getting any old taxi. Just $5 to get to my hotel. I find my way to the taxi stand, show the slip, and they say, go to the other side and catch a black and yellow cab. I stand in line again. No air conditioning (DON’T COME DURING THE SUMMER, FOR INDIA JUST HAD IT’S HOTTEST SUMMER ON RECORD IN 2009, and this is February 7) and a really crummy vehicle. The driver asks, where? I say, the Le Meridien. He says, huh? I show him my taxi receipt and hotel reservation. He seems puzzled. We drive on. I notice that the plumeria tree leaves are not green, but either tannish or grayish, depending on the dust in the area. In fact, everyone and everything is tannish or grayish. Just like Cairo.



I went through one of the most exciting rides of my life, almost exactly like a video game, for the cab has his horn tooting almost constantly, cutting in front and being aced out every few seconds. The lines on the road are meaningless. The larger the vehicle, the higher the priority, apparently. Some roads are closed for no reason whatsoever.


At some point when we are in gridlock, he asks again, what is the address. Yes, he speaks English. I remember that my hotel reservation had a sheet with a map. I show him the Le Meridien. He nods and smiles. He really did not know where we were going. We arrive, and he goes to the wrong entrance. Finally…finally, I have my bags back and I give him a 40 cent tip (not percentage, cents)…20 rupees. I don’t look to see how happy or angry he might be.


The Le Meridien is an OASIS. While almost a quarter century old, the whole place was given a total make-over two years ago. My kind of hotel. Shiny, large flat screen TV, great service.


First things first, and I joined a tour to Agra and the Taj Mahal for what I think is $50 (2400 rupees). Pick up at 6:15AM tomorrow and return at 10:15PM. I think, because a hotel car with driver was to have cost me $200.

















I decided to walk around the hotel, got practically mugged, but pleasantly, by a couple of taxi drivers, who insisted that their tuk-tuk (they have the human kind as in Hanoi and the same two-cycle engine system of Bangkok) for less than a dollar could take me virtually anywhere, and that crossing the street was a problem. They were right, for Delhi has these traffic circles (photo from my room above), and you can’t see vehicles careening into you. Theoretically, it is a 10 minute walk to Connaught Place and 10 minutes the other way to India Gate. I chicken out and go back to the hotel and sign up for a city tour in two days. I leave for Barcelona in three days.


I’m having a Highland Park scotch, see (in a manner of speaking, for the atmosphere is reminiscent of Los Angeles, circa 1958) India Gate from my room and am cranking out this blog. The room came with a complimentary bottle of Bordeaux, but I’ll save that for another day. Yes, the Meridien is an oasis.

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Visitors to this site: 23, 700

Visitors this week: 755

Number of countries: 132

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Nothing special about this posting, except that it hit a nerve, and got 90 comments.  Click on this to read them.  Saw and experienced a lot in New Delhi.  A side trip to Agra was experienceful, as reported here.   I then left on 11 February 2010 for Barcelona.  I include the next posting because it was truly memorable.


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FROM DELHI TO MUNICH TO BARCELONA



Another truly monumental day, again a roller coaster of emotions with assorted tribulations and over the top stress. However, 24 hours after leaving the Delhi Le Meridien, I arrived at the Barcelona Le Meridien, and feel almost euphoric, for I survived India and am now in Spain.


I left the Delhi Le Meridien at 6:30AM and was taken by a hotel car (free) to the airport. Check in was terrific, for Lufthansa upgraded me to first class. With some trepidation, I nevertheless passed through customs with ease. I was about to have a croissant and capuchino breakfast in the Lufthansa lounge when a uniformed officer asked to see my boarding pass (BP). He then ordered me to accompany him, for there was a problem with my check-in baggage. Maybe another extortion scheme?


I imagined all sorts of worse case scenarios. Maybe someone had somehow snuck in a pound of heroin or a bomb into my baggage. We passed through one security gate, where they stamped my BP. At this point another uniformed officer with a rifle accompanied us. We went through two more security areas, where they again stamped the BP, into the bowels of the airport. Then I thought, oh no, my “India Sucks” blog really pissed off someone and they were going to execute me. However, Cambodia, maybe, but certainly not India. We made it to where bags accumulate, and there was my suitcase. It occurred to me then, what if they never found me before the plane left. This suitcase would never have made it to Barcelona.


They asked me to open it. At this point, I sort of realized the problem. TSA has a key to my type of luggage, but they don’t in India. As I was opening the bag, I was asked if I had a lighter in there. I said, yes, and found it in the bag with my cigars. He huddled with two others and they talked for several minutes. Then they went up to a higher official for several minutes more of animated discussion. I thought, with these histrionics, for sure, another $100 would be necessary. But I would go no higher. Then I saw one of them use a device to evacuate the lighter of the fluid. They gave me back my lighter, I closed the suitcase, they all smiled, so did I, and I left the area, accompanied by my two guards, mildly embarrassed for my unkind thoughts. I had to re-pass through the three security tables, where they again stamped my BP. By the time this was all over, my BP was totally unrecognizable. I was returned to the lounge, where I fixed myself a stiff Bloody Mary, except with gin, as there was no vodka.


In a short while it was about my boarding time, so I left for the gate. There, I learned that there was a two hour delay. No problem, at least I made it this far. Finally I boarded, and the 8 hour flight was about the best I’ve had in all my years of flying.


I was offered a Champagne Veuve Devaux with macadamia nuts. According to the write-up, the “freshness of the chardonnay knits perfectly with the fruit and opulence of the pinot noir.” I did not know this combination (Pinot Meunier can also be used) was what went into champagne, and this one was the winner of the Lufthansa blind tasting. As the plane was taxiing on the runway, they continued to pour more champagne. It is then I noticed that, while there were others in First Class, no one was sitting within 15 feet of me. I was sort of all alone.


The plane took off, and Emma, my hostess,

passed out three large booklets, one each for the two meals and a third of the beverages. I thereby, then, although Pearl would not have approved, decided to break the Guinness world record for the most esoteric assortment of alcohol drunk on one flight. My first drink was a La Guita Sherry, sort of a Manzanilla. If you’re counting, I’m now up to three. With the Serrano Ham and Milan Salami I had a Kaseler Nies’chen Riesling (#4), from the top vineyard in the Mosel Valley. Quoting again: “racy acidity, classic minerality and restrained sweetness.” Various cheeses then came, followed by an omelette of smoked salmon and creamy spinach, with pineapple stuffed pancakes. This was breakfast at 1PM, Delhi time, but 9:30AM in Munich, where the plane was headed.


I ended the first meal with a Niepoort White Port (#5), which had been aged for 10 years. Yes, white port, which actually is golden yellow. I had a Johnny Walker Blue (#6) with the first movie and Warsteiner Premium Verum (#7) with the second.


The second meal started with real caviar and traditional garnishes,








including a special Smirnoff vodka (#8). I reflected on the irony of this feast as the plane flew over the Middle East War. I skipped most of the rest, but had a Pomfret in Saffron Sauce with Fettuccine, accompanied with an Ihringer Winklerberg Spatlese trocken (#9), a Pinot Blanc “with subtle aromas of vanilla, pear and citrus fruit.” This all ended with a Pfalz Chardonnay Eiswein (#10), expresso and Calvados Pays d’Auge (#11). Actually, much of all the above were mere tastings. I did not actually consume every drop. You can ask Emma, who was a most gracious and accommodating partner in this epicurean experience.


The plane landed in a Munich whiteout.

I made it into the Senator Lounge passing through a mob outside. Most flights out had been cancelled, and the line to re-process was at least 200, if not 300, yards long. This was not single file, it was about 5 people wide and not moving at all. Amazingly enough, Lufthansa had the foresight to re-book me on a later Barcelona flight, and this one was to leave in two hours.


Unfortunately, the snowstorm worsened, and the plane did not leave until midnight, five hours late. But this was one of the few flights allowed to depart. Two hours later I landed in Barcelona. In fact, my two bags were the first to appear. Again, just a step before freedom, was asked to have my bags x-rayed in a side room. The setting was perfect. I was the only passenger, they saw a computer in my luggage, and they essentially asked the same question as in India. Theirs was, how many computers do you have in this suitcase. I said one. Is that all? Yes (although I could have added, I have another one in the other bag). He kind of shook his head and I thought, okay, how much? Well, he said okay and helped me place my luggage onto the cart and waved goodbye to me. My relief was overwhelming. Spain's Corruption Perception Index is 6.1, compared to the now #1, New Zealand, at 9.4, and the U.S. up to 7.5, versus India, still at 3.4. The rest of my stops will be in countries with a CPI higher than the USA.


I had made a brilliant decision the day before. I had the option of being picked up by the Le Meridien for 66 Euros (about $100), but I said no because there was a clause that said if the driver had to wait, it would cost 66 Euro/hour. My plane was 8 hours late, so I would have had to pay almost $1000 if I had not decided to catch a cab. I went with the Fodor recommendation that the airport taxi system in Barcelona was well managed. I ended up paying 40 Euros, a bit more than the book stated, but there is a surcharge after midnight, and I added a generous tip.


What a day!!!


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The Dow Jones Industrials went up 106 to 10,144, and world markets also mostly increased, with the Japan Nikkei at 10,092. Gold is up $13/toz to $1090 and crude oil is in the range of $75/barrel.


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Tropical Cyclone Pat is petering out, but Tropical Cyclone Rene is now up to 65 MPH and could well hit Samoa this weekend as a Category 3 storm.



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The Japanese Nikkei and American Dow Jones were about equal on that day in 2010.  

  • Yesterday the Nikkei was at 27,655, while the Dow was at 31,751.  
  • Also interesting is that the Nikkei was at 26,613 on 22 March 1991, about the same as what it is today 30 years later!
  • However around that time in 1991 the Dow was just below 3,000!  Thus the Dow jumped by more than factor of 10 in 30 years, while the Japan's Nikkei is back to where it was in 1991.
  • Actually, it's worse than that.  At the end of 1989 the Nikkei reached an all-time high of 38,916.  And it's even more terrible than that, for if you had purchased a whole bunch of Japanese company stocks in 1989 for a million dollars, the value would have dropped 30 years later to $689,000.  But the inflation rate value would further have lowered the value by at least a factor of two, or those stocks today would be worth $344,485.

I got only two comments to the second posting, the one where I traveled from New Delhi to Munich to Barcelona.  Here they are:


Your dining in Lufthansa first class does sound like a record in airborne decadence. I hope EH does not see this blog because it will blow your cover!

Leighton

Unknown said...

Hi your Stewardess Emma is my lovely niece - I am delighted that you mentioned her and how well she represents the charm of the Irish and that she is good at her job - she sent me the link so is obviously very proud herself !

Enjoy - rgds Cathy Reynolds


I was on the verge of inserting a third posting, my first day in Barcelona:  I LOVE BARCELONA.  But I won't because one of the photos was definitely provocative, and could stir up some turmoil, as INDIA SUCKS did.  I do include a photo of Gaudi's Sagrada Familia, which comes from my blog entitled FASCINATING BARCELONA.  Construction began in 1882 and was projected to be completed in 2026.  Well, they gave up on that date.


I close with my Blood Lily bloom at one week.  Over the next couple of weeks, there should be at least six, and maybe more flowers.  I gave three of them away to residents here, so they, too, should be on the verge of watching their Blood Lily bloom.



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Monday, July 25, 2022

NOPE, JAWS, GRAY MAN, HOUSE OF GUCCI +

Here is something I did not expect, from NBC News:


A majority of people in the U.S have had Covid-19 at least once — likely more than 70% of the country, White House Covid-19 Response Coordinator Ashish Jha said on Thursday, citing data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Many have been infected multiple times. 


Let me do some math.  So far, the U.S. has had a little more than 92 million COVID-19 cases.  Our population is 335 million, so I calculated 28%, which is far lower than the 70% cited by Dr. Jha.

  • But the World Health Organization reported in April that up to 65% of Africans have been infected by SARS-CoV-2.  If this is true, the continent had 97 times more cases than reported!!!
  • Further, the global average should be 16 times higher!
  • There is no mention of how asymptomaticity factored into the above.
So if you multiply the actual covid cases by 16, that would mean that the average person in the USA actually was infected more than four times each.  
  • That just can't be, for we are better at reporting cases and deaths than many other countries.  
  • But if asymptomaticity and other factors can explain being off by a factor of around 2.5, then the 70% figure of Jha seems sensible.
  • Shanghai, when it went through a thorough testing period more recently reported a 97% asymptomatic rate.  
    • This could have been skewed by vaccinations and previous infections. 
    •  In any case the world seems to be settling at a 50% asymptomatic rate, which is higher than the 30-40% being suggested by the CDC.
    • So chances are more probable that the actual asymptomatic rate today, because of vaccinations and previous infections, could easily be somewhere between 97% and 50%, making Dr. Jha's contention that 70% of Americans have already contracted COVID-19 reasonable.

Further:


Many have been infected multiple times. In a study that has not been peer viewed that looked at 257,000 U.S. veterans who'd contracted Covid at least once, 12% had a reinfection by April and about 1% had been infected three times or more


How have some avoided this virus?  

  • Individual behavior, including genetics, T cell immunity and the effects of inflammatory conditions like allergies and asthma.
  • 100-500 genes in your lungs and nasal cavity can help and hurt.
  • Genetic variations can harm you or prevent getting infected and recover quicker or not.
  • Apparently, those who have had numerous colds in the past from some coronavirus seem to be more immune to COVID-19.  This is because T cells, a type of white blood cell, remember these past infections and help you fight off the virus and, if infected, better recover.  These T cells seem to also resist BA.5.
  • Contrary to earlier reports, those with asthma and certain allergies seem to better avoid being infected.   Then again, another study could not find this advantage.
  • Having a food allergy halved the risk of infection
    .  This type of advantage should also work against BA.5.  Maybe my crustacean allergy is helping me.
  • THIS IS MOST IMPORTANT OF ALL:  taking precautions like staying home and wearing masks  are more effective in avoiding infection than genetics or T cell advantage.

Since the pandemic started, I have not gone to a movie theater.  Box Office Mojo reports that the #1 movie of the year so far is Top Gun:  Maverick, with $1.3 billion in world-wide revenues.   I alerted you this past Friday to the opening of Nope, which was #1 this weekend, earning $44 million.  Rotten Tomatoes scores of 82%/71%.

Last week I also indicated that the Discovery Channel would be hosting Shark Week, which began yesterday.  So Saturday night, to put me in a proper frame of mind, I reached back and saw Jaws.  Turned out that four years ago, maybe for this same reason, I watched all four Jaws films.  To quote:

The first of the series was released in 1975, directed by Steven Spielberg, starring Roy Scheider, Robert Shaw, Richard Dreyfuss and Murray Hamilton, with music by John Williams.  The film was based on the 1974 book by Peter Benchley, who was inspired by the Jersey Shore shark attacks of 1916.  The movie won an Oscar for Williams (his alternating pattern of the E and F notes on a piano became the standard theme of an approaching shark) and was nominated as a best picture.

Rotten Tomatoes gave Jaws  97%/90% ratings.  The film became the father of summer blockbusters, for it became the first to open across most of the country.  Until then, these potential biggies were leaked out to draw word-of-mouth acclaim.


Dreyfuss in 1973 had success with American Graffiti, but Jaws was Spielberg's first huge hit.  They went on to make Close Encounters of the Third Kind in 1977.


Sad that Scheider, Shaw, Hamilton and Benchley have passed away.  Benchley regretted he wrote the book, which encouraged public fear of sharks, and created the Benchley Ocean Awards for ocean conservation.  We kill 100 million sharks per year.  Sharks, perhaps 10 humans/year.  17,000 of us die from falls/year.

Last week I also reported on The Gray ManRotten Tomatoes reviewers panned it with a 49% rating, but audiences gave the film 90%.  I can see why, for the production was messy, with over the top action involving the usual international travelogue.  But moviegoers like that stuff.

This was Netflix's most expensive original film.  By comparison, the current Disney Thor, which was #2 to Nope ($68 million budget) this weekend, cost $250 million.  Will there be a sequel for The Gray Man?  I won't say much about the storyline, but the way the movie ended, surely.  There might even be a prequel.

Netflix has another $200 million movie coming by the same directorial team of Joe and Anthony Russo, The Electric State.  Millie Bobby Brown in Simon Stalenhag's graphic novel of a young woman with a sweet but mysterious robot.

Giving equal time to Prime, I have recently also watched, like The Gray Man, two films with low reviewer's, but much higher audience ratings.  The House of GucciRT 63/83 and Don't Make Me GoRT 54/78.

  • A true story, where Patrizia Reggiani (Lady Gaga) in 1997 was sentenced to 29 years for arranging the murder of her husband, Maurizio Gucci (Adam Driver), but was released early in 2015, and still receives $1.2 million/year from her deceased ex-husband's estate.
  • Directed by Ridley Scott.
  • Had quite a cast:  Gaga, Driver, Jeremy Irons, Al Pacino and Jared Leto (Paolo Gucci), who won the Worst Supporting Actor prize at the 42nd Golden Raspberry Awards.
  • The soundtrack had nothing by Lady Gaga, but was FABULOUS.
  • Very successful, for with a budget of $75 million, earned $157 million so far.

Don't Make Me Go:

  • Max Park (John Cho), who gained custody over his daughter when his wife ran off with one of his high school friends, finds out that he has a terminal illness, so goes to his high school reunion mostly to pass on his daughter to his wife.
  • A major twist at the end leads to a mostly happy ending.
  • I well remember John Cho first feature film, the 2004 Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle, with two sequels.  He started acting in the 1999 American Pie.  His father came from North Korea, and John was born in Seoul, coming to the U.S. at the age of 6.  Graduated from Cal-Berkeley, is lead singer for Viva La Union, a Los Angeles garage rock band and played Hikaru Sulu in Star Trek Beyond.  He has developed well.
  • Wants to play the role of his preacher father growing up in North Korea through the Korean War.

I moved my Blood Lily bloom into the elevator lobby area:

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