Total Pageviews

Tuesday, February 3, 2026

INSURANCE RATES ARE SKYROCKETING

I had a great luncheon reunion at 100 Sails in the Hawaii Prince Hotel with three associates of the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute at the University of Hawaii.  One of them sent me the following e-mail.

And Pat, I was going to suggest today that you save some space in a future blog to write (complain) about how climate change is negatively impacting insurance rates — not only the affordability but the availability as well.  My home, hurricane, and umbrella insurance rates have made quantum jumps over the last several years.  Last year alone, my hurricane insurance rate increased by 100% (it would have increased even more if I didn’t double my deductible). I received a quote for umbrella insurance a coupla days ago — 60% increase over last year.  A half year ago, my Allstate homeowner’s quote took a quantum leap so I contacted State Farm to see if I could get a better deal — State Farm checked my address online and noted that the bottom story of my 50-year old home is single-wall construction — it’s essentially uninsurable.  


So I asked Google AI if insurance rates have recently skyrocketed up.

Yes, most insurance costs have dramatically increased in recent years. Homeowners insurance premiums rose by an average of 24% from 2021 to 2024
, while car insurance premiums skyrocketed by 55% since February 2020. Family health insurance costs have risen 26% over the past five years, with further sharp increases anticipated due to expiring subsidies. 
Key Drivers of Insurance Costs:
  • Homeowners Insurance: Driven by climate-related severe weather, increased construction costs (inflation), and higher reinsurance rates, particularly in states like Florida and Louisiana.
  • Auto Insurance: Increased due to higher repair costs, more advanced technology in vehicles, and increased frequency of accidents, particularly in urban areas.
  • Health Insurance: Driven by rising medical provider wages, hospital system consolidation, and increased utilization of expensive, new treatments.
  • Market Factors: A "tight" reinsurance market has forced insurers to pass higher costs to consumers to maintain profit margins. 
Impact on Consumers:
  • Homeowners: Average annual premiums reached $3,303 by 2024.
  • Health Plan Members: Those on Affordable Care Act (ACA) plans face significant premium increases, with potential for premiums to nearly double if subsidies expire.
  • Drivers: The 55% surge in premiums since 2020 has significantly reduced affordability for many drivers. 

I'll start with health insurance.

  • The expiration of the Affordable Care Act (or Obama Care) at the end of last year will proobably double insurance costs in 2025.
  • Chances are that younger and healthier people will disproportionately choose not to purchase health insurance when it become more expensive.
  • If they do exit, the costs will even further increase.
  • This will lead to a death spiral with further disenrollment and even higher premiums.

But aren't Americans already paying higher premiums than other countries?  Google AI:

Yes, 
healthcare in the United States is significantly more expensive for Americans than in most other developed countries, often costing double the per capita amount of its peers, despite often resulting in worse health outcomes. In 2024, U.S. healthcare spending was estimated at $14,885 per person, compared to an average of $7,371 for other wealthy OECD nations. 
Here are the key findings regarding U.S. health spending:
  • Higher Costs, Not Higher Usage: Contrary to popular belief, Americans do not use more healthcare services. In fact, Americans have fewer physician visits and shorter hospital stays than residents in other developed countries.
  • "It's the Prices, Stupid": The primary driver of higher spending is the cost of services, drugs, and administrative expenses, rather than the quantity of care provided.
  • Key Drivers of Cost:
  • Inpatient/Outpatient Care: Payments to hospitals and doctors for services are substantially higher in the U.S. than elsewhere.
  • Pharmaceuticals: Prescription drugs often cost much more in the U.S. than in peer nations, sometimes up to 10 times higher for certain drugs.
  • Administrative Waste: The U.S. spends five times more on administrative costs per person than the average of other wealthy nations, often due to a complex, non-universal system.
  • Lower Performance Metrics: Despite the high spending, the U.S. often lags behind in health outcomes, with lower life expectancy, higher maternal mortality rates, and higher rates of avoidable deaths. 
Comparison of Healthcare Spending per Capita (2024 Est.)
 
  • United States: $14,885
  • Switzerland: $9,963
  • Germany: $9,365
  • Canada: $7,301
  • United Kingdom: $6,747 
While some countries with universal, private-partnered systems like Switzerland also have high costs, the U.S. remains an outlier in terms of both total spending and the burden placed on consumers, with many Americans reporting skipping care due to costs. 

You want a solution to the above?  Google AI says:

Lowering U.S. health insurance costs requires a multi-pronged approach: strengthening the Affordable Care Act (ACA) by extending subsidies, curbing drug prices through Medicare negotiation, enhancing market competition by selling insurance across state lines, and reducing administrative waste. Additionally, shifting toward value-based care and expanding preventative health services can reduce long-term, high-cost medical expenditures. 

Lot's of luck to the above!  Medical lobbyists are not even mentioned in these AI summaries.


What about auto insurance?  Google AI?

Based on recent data, U.S. auto insurance premiums have risen significantly due to inflation, higher repair costs, and increased accident frequency, with rates rising by 12% from 2024 to 2025 following a 17% increase the previous year
. 
To reduce auto insurance costs in the U.S., consumers can take several proactive steps:
Immediate Action Strategies
  • Shop Around and Compare Quotes: Comparing rates from at least three different companies is the most effective way to find lower premiums, with some drivers saving a median of $461 annually.
  • Raise Your Deductible: Increasing your deductible (e.g., from $500 to $1,000) can lower collision and comprehensive premiums by 15% to 30% or more, though it increases your out-of-pocket cost if an accident occurs.
  • Bundle Policies: Combining auto insurance with home, renters, or life insurance can reduce premiums by 5% to 25%.
  • Pay In Full: Paying your annual or semi-annual premium up front can save on fees associated with monthly installment payments.
  • Drop Coverage on Older Vehicles: If your vehicle is older and its market value is less than 10 times the annual premium, consider dropping collision and comprehensive coverage. 

What are other, longer term options?  Google AI?

Long-Term and Behavioral Savings
  • Utilize Telematics/Usage-Based Insurance (UBI): Many insurers offer apps that track driving habits (speed, braking, time of day). Safe drivers can see substantial discounts.
  • Improve Credit Score: In most states, insurers use credit-based scores to set rates. A higher credit score can significantly lower premiums.
  • Maintain a Clean Driving Record: Avoiding accidents and traffic violations is the best way to keep rates low. Taking a defensive driving course can also offer discounts of up to 15% in many states.
  • Report Low Mileage: If you work from home or drive less than 10,000 miles a year, inform your insurer to qualify for lower rates.
  • Choose the Right Car: Vehicles with advanced safety features (anti-lock brakes, airbags) and lower repair costs generally cost less to insure. 
Tips for Specific Situations
  • Teen Drivers: If a teen driver is on your policy, look for "good student" discounts (often 5% to 25% for a B average or better).
  • Young/New Drivers: Rates generally start dropping at age 25.
  • Retired/Older Drivers: AARP members or those who take approved defensive driving courses may get special discounts. 

You and I know what Google AI will say about homeowner's insurance.  Here is its answer anyway:

Yes, homeowners insurance rates have risen dramatically, increasing nearly 70% since 2021 due to climate-related risks, higher rebuilding costs, and inflation
. Nearly half of U.S. homeowners experienced rate hikes in the past year, with average premiums now exceeding $2,300 annually. Costs are projected to continue rising in 2026. 
Key Reasons for Recent Premium Increases:
  • Climate Change and Natural Disasters: Increased frequency of catastrophic events like wildfires, hail, and hurricanes have driven up claims costs.
  • Rising Reconstruction Costs: Higher costs for labor and building materials mean it costs more to repair or replace homes.
  • Higher Home Values: As home prices have increased, so has the cost to cover their replacement value.
  • Market Adjustments: Insurers are aggressively increasing rates to offset heavy losses and manage risks, especially in high-risk states like California, Florida, and Texas. 
Impact on Homeowners:
  • Record Costs: Insurance now represents a record 9% of typical monthly mortgage payments, according to a report in late 2025/early 2026.
  • Reduced Coverage: To manage costs, many homeowners are reducing coverage, which leaves them more vulnerable.
  • Market Instability: Some insurers are limiting new policies in high-risk areas. 

Okay, I'm retired, and, don't pay any insurance at all, so I actually am not affected.  However, if you are young, or younger, and seek an opportunity, here is what Google AI says about getting into the insurance business.

Based on industry data and trends for 2026, it is considered a very strong, albeit challenging, time to enter the insurance business. The industry is currently facing a "great compression" where high retirement rates (estimated at 400,000+ vacancies over the next 15 years) are meeting a growing demand for coverage. 
Here is a breakdown of why 2026 is a unique, good time to get into the insurance business.

1. High Demand & Economic Stability 

Constant Demand: Insurance is trend-proof, driven by long-term needs for security regardless of economic cycles.
  • Growth Potential: The global insurance market is projected to grow to over $11.6 trillion by 2030, with a 6.6% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) expected in 2026.
  • Niche Opportunities: There is high demand for specialized insurance, such as cyber liability, and opportunities in the gig-economy/microinsurance sectors. 
2. Massive Talent Drain (Immediate Hiring Need)
  • The "Great Compression": Roughly half of the insurance workforce is expected to retire within the next 15 years, creating urgent demand for new professionals.
  • High Need for Sales/Relationship Roles: Despite automation, there is a strong need for human interaction in complex sales (e.g., life insurance, commercial lines), where building trust is critical. 
3. The Role of AI and Technology
  • Early Adoption Advantage: The industry is adopting AI-driven analytics, allowing agents to identify risk and profitable opportunities faster than competitors.
  • Increased Productivity: Generative AI is being used to automate tedious tasks, enabling agents to spend more time on sales and client service.
  • New Tools: Specialized AI agents are being launched to handle prospect identification and lead scoring, potentially freeing up to 45% of a producer's time. 
4. Challenges to Consider (The "But")
  • Evolving Risks: Climate change and social inflation (higher legal, medical costs) are creating high-risk environments, requiring smarter underwriting.
  • Tech Literacy Required: The industry is moving toward a digital-first approach; new entrants must be comfortable with data-driven tools, AI, and CRM systems.
  • Hard Market Pressures: While market conditions are changing, some areas still face reduced capacity, making it harder to place certain risks. 
Summary
If you are looking for a stable industry with high earning potential, a high demand for new staff, and the opportunity to build long-term client relationships, 2026 is an excellent time to start. Success will likely depend on embracing digital tools and focusing on high-value, complex, or niche coverage areas. 

Well, back to our lunch at 100 Sails which began this posting.  I recommend that they retire and get into a seniors' community, like me.  About that gathering, I had a fish dish, with a Bloody Mary and glass of Chardonnay.

-

Monday, February 2, 2026

DAVID BROOKS SAYS GOODBYE

I was reading the Honolulu Star-Advertiser this morning, and noticed a farewell column in The New York Times by David Brooks.  He is one of the stars of op-ed (opposite the editorial page) news writing, and I'm sad to see him go.  He made a lot of sense.  


Of course, there are some others who did not like him.  Chump Lady, for example.  Here is how she started her column today.


Columnist David Brooks says goodbye to his New York Times gig and lectures us all on morality. Which is always rich coming from the guy who left his wife for his much younger research assistant.  


Say it isn’t so! David Brooks is leaving his job at the New York Times as finger-wagging moralist, deli meat snob, and righteous scold of single mothers. He doesn’t say exactly what his next job is, but you know he’ll be quoting Edmund Burke.


The Guardian had a particularly telling critique, beginning with:

The New York Times columnist David Brooks appeared in multiple photos from the estate of Jeffrey  Epstein that were released on Thursday by the House committee on oversight and government reform.

Brooks was also heavily dismissive of the Epstein story in a July appearance on the PBS NewsHour. “Every August, Washington goes crazy with some stupid story. And then in September we think, ‘What was that all about?’” he said. “And so this year we’re a little early.”


Well, maybe I'm the naive one, for I did not know him well at all.  Perhaps he was eased out of The New York Times.  However, the newspaper on 29January2026 had a praising goodbye article written by Kathleen Kingsbury, who is head of Opinion for the paper.  Here are a few comments.

Since he first joined Times Opinion in 2003, David Brooks has occupied a singular role: He is our resident cartographer of the American soul. 


His work has earned him a place among the most decorated observers of our time. As a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, David has made contributions that have been recognized with honors, and he’s been granted over 30 honorary doctorates from American colleges and universities. He has also written seven major nonfiction books.


It is because of this lifelong commitment to teaching and intellectual growth that I share the news that David will be departing The Times to join Yale University as a presidential senior fellow.


“I am so sorry to hear this news,” said his fellow columnist Thomas L. Friedman. “I cannot imagine reading The Times and not being able to savor one of David’s deep essays on politics, society and human connection. David and I have had a running joke all these years that we almost always end up in the same place politically, but we get there by totally different routes. We arrive at the same conclusion that our future depends on building and proliferating communities built on healthy interdependencies cemented by shared values. This news really leaves me bummed. Yale’s gain is our readers’ loss.”


From Google AI:


David Brooks is leaving The New York Times after 22 years to join The Atlantic as a staff writer and become a presidential senior fellow at the Yale Jackson School of Global Affairs, according to reports from January 29–31, 2026. He announced his departure via a farewell column, shifting his focus to new writing and academic endeavors.


Key details:

  • Duration: Served as a columnist for 22 years.
  • Next Roles: Joining The Atlantic as a staff writer and Yale University as a senior fellow.
  • Context: His move involves launching a new podcast and focusing on cultural change, as detailed in his final column.

-

Sunday, February 1, 2026

THE WRECKING CREW

Reviews indicate that many more liked The Wrecking Crew than not.  For example, said CNN:

Momoa, Bautista are buddy movie perfection in 'Wrecking Crew'

  • Two superhero movie stars get their bromance on in an explosive new Prime Video action flick.
  • They are Dave Bautista and Jason Momoa.
When their private-eye Hawaiian father dies in a suspicious hit-and-run incident, two estranged half-brothers are brought back together for the first time in a decade. James Hale (Bautista) is a steely Navy man in Honolulu who’s a hardcase at work and at home and has no patience for shenanigans. The younger Jonny Hale (Momoa) is a walking, talking, tattooed shenanigan, a brash cop in Oklahoma suspended for excessive force.
  • Gave the film 3 out of 4 stars.
  • Rated R.
  • Rotten Tomatoes rated the production only 74/68.
  • Forbes indicated that most reviewers gave the film a fresh (or good) rating, but Jacob Oller of the AV Club is a top critic who gave a rotten review, saying:
“Somehow, the laborious and forgettable action-comedy isn't dumb enough.”
  • Me?  I lean in the Oller direction, but for different reasons.  While I usually enjoy movies filmed in Hawaii with a local lead (Momoa), I kept telling myself, I've seen this show before, in different incarnations.  Nothing is really new and surprising.
  • Movieweb says The Wrecking Crew is streaming #1 on Prime Video.
  • The proof of the product is that, while only yet in discussion, there appears like there will be a sequel.
  • By the way, there was another The Wrecking Crew film, in 1969, with Dean Martin as Matt Helm, plus, Elke Sommer, Sharon Tate, Nancy Kwan, Tina Louise and Chuck Norris.  Rotten Tomatoes audiences bestowed 45 rating.

If you are sufficiently aware, we are now into February of 2026.  The Wrap provides Everything New on Prime Video in February 2026.

  • Love is in the air when the month includes Valentine's Day.
  • Among the new films are 50 First Dates, The Barbershop series, La La Land, Mystic Pizza, P.S. I Love You, the Robocop series, The Andromeda Strain and The Thomas Crown Affair.
  • For those who avoided movie theaters, the new Anaconda reboot with Jack Black and Paul Rudd arrived on Prime Video on January 27...at a high cost.
  • Again Valentine's influences new selections, with Crazy Stupid Love on February 1, Shakespeare in Love on February 10 and Love is Blind on February on February 11.
  • A bunch of productions are also leaving, like Groundhog Day, Parasite and Memoirs of a Geisha.
  • Netflix will stream that same new Anaconda film shortly for $7.99.

The Saturday Night Live cold start last night had to do with ICE in Minneapolis.  That's Pete Davidson as Border Patrol Czar Tom Homan.  Begun with:

"My name is Tom Homan. Now, I'm sure a lot of you are wondering why Greg Bovino, the last guy, was dismissed," Davidson's Homan told the agents. "I want to stress that it wasn't because he did a bad job, or publicly lied about the shooting of an American citizen, or even — uh-oh! — dressed like a Nazi. It was that he was filmed doing these things. And the president no-likey that."

-