Total Pageviews

Saturday, December 18, 2021

THE USA IS A FLAWED DEMOCRACY

I normally don't show this table on Saturdays, but had to today because that drop in new deaths for the United States for Thursday (shown yesterday) was clearly wrong:


 From Worldometer (new  COVID-19 deaths yesterday):

        DAY  USA  WORLD   Brazil    India    South Africa

June     9    1093     4732         1185        246       82
July    22     1205     7128         1293      1120     572
Aug    12     1504     6556        1242        835     130
Sept     9     1208      6222       1136       1168       82
Oct     21     1225      6849         571        703       85
Nov    25       2304    12025        620        518      118
Dec    30       3880    14748       1224       299      465
Jan     14       4142    15512       1151        189     712              
Feb      3       4005    14265       1209       107      398
Mar     2        1989     9490        1726       110      194
April   6          906     11787         4211       631       37
May    4         853     13667         3025     3786      59 
June   1         287    10637         2346      3205       95
 July   7          251      8440        1595        817      411
Aug    4          656    10120        1118         532     423 
Sept  22       2228     9326          839        279      124
        29         2190      8859         643        309      108
Oct    6         2102       8255         543        315       59
        19        2005      7528         401        160        80 
        27        1594      8671         433        734        62 
Nov   3         1436      7830        186        458        23
        24        1594      8270         176        396        22 
Dec    1        1633      8475        266         477       28
          8        1324      7894         231        159       36
        15        1690      8233         227        343       54
        16          997      7115         173        391       36
        17        1653      7359         126        289       35


Summary:
  • The USA had 163,707 (490/million) new cases, while the UK #2 was at 92,597 (1354/million).
  • New York was #1 in new cases with 21,444 (1105/million).
    • Nearby, Massachusetts was at 1040 new cases/million.
    • New Jersey was at 831 new cases/million.
    • Vermont was at 764 new cases/million.
  • Hawaii had a scary (maybe our highest ever) 797 (569/million) new cases yesterday.
  • Government officials and the administration where I live have not shown any sign of invoking new protective measures, but I suspect that some clamping down will occur if our numbers continue for a few more days.  On the other hand, as bad as things are in Hawaii today, mostly in Honolulu, we remain a factor of two to three lower in new cases/million than most European countries.  And most of them also don't seem to want to hurt the economy.
  • A big positive is South Africa:
    • Only 1.7% of identified Covid-19 cases were admitted to hospital in the second week of infections in the fourth wave, compared with 19% in the same week of the third delta-driven wave, South African Health Minister Joe Phaahla said at a press conference. 
    • Their new cases/million yesterday was 335, less than half that of Hawaii.
    • More than 90% of COVID-19 deaths were to the unvaccinated or partially vaccinated.
    • About hospitalizations:
Currently there are about 7,600 people with Covid-19 in South African hospitals, about 40% of the peak in the second and third waves. Excess deaths, a measure of the number of deaths against a historical average, are just below 2,000 a week, an eighth of their previous peak.
    • Their new deaths/million yesterday was 0.6/million, as compared to (in new deaths/million):
      • USA  5.0 
      • Russia  7.4 
      • Poland  15.0
      • Hungary  16.0
      • Slovakia  20.9
      • New York  3.2
      • Hawaii  1.4
      • South Africa 0.6
      • Japan  0.02
      • China had no deaths.
      • It has been three weeks since the Omicron variant was detected in South Africa.
      • What this means is that Omicron is much, much more transmissible than Delta (20,000 new cases/day for Omicron to 4,400 new cases/day for Delta), but much, much less virulent.  The sickness seems closer to the flu than COVID.  Ah, don't quote me on that...yet.
      • So far, 8.7 billion vaccine doses in 184 countries.  The world population is 7.8 billion

Who remembers that Germany in 1932 was a democracy, when Adolf Hitler won two elections:


Two elections within five months paved the way for the “democratic” rise of Adolf Hitler and the Nazis to power. Their provocative and violent methods — including brutal street clashes with Communists — had brought them prominence in the previous decade. But it was the Great Depression of 1929 that truly fueled their popularity. In the July elections of 1932, the Nazis emerged as the single largest party, but they were far from a majority. A November rerun saw them retain the dominant position — but with fewer seats. Using a combination of street violence, political blackmail and support from big German businesses, Hitler convinced President Paul von Hindenburg to appoint him chancellor. Under Nazi rule, Germany would never again hold genuinely free and fair elections.

A second presidential victory for Donald Trump in 2024 will lead the country into a scary unknown that can't be good.  As it is, we are already not much of a democracy today.   


See that map?  We are a flawed democracy.

Interesting that in 2015 we were a full democracy with an 8.05 score.  Since then we have not reached 8.0.  We are now #25:

  • #1      Norway  9.81
  • #2      Iceland  9.37
  • #3      Sweden  9.26
  • #4      New Zealand  9.25
  • #5      Canada  9.24
  • #11    Taiwan  8.94
  • #20    Mauritius  8.14
  • #21    Japan  8.13
  • #22    Spain  8.12
  • #23    South Korea  8.01
  • #24    France    7.99
  • #25    U.S.  7.92
  • #27    Israel  7.84
  • #45    South Africa  7.05
  • #74    Singapore  6.03
  • #124  Russia  3.31
  • #151  China  2.27
  • #167  North Korea  1.08

Here is one point of view about Trump in 2024:

-

Typhoon Rai now seems headed for Taiwan:

-

No comments: