From Worldometer, COVID-19 new deaths:
DAY USA WORLD Brazil India South Africa
28 1223 4612 1067 177 25
29 1212 4873 1180 269 34
30 1015 4084 890 205 32
June 1 638 3189 480 223 40
2 730 3053 732 200 22
3 1134 4669 1232 221 50
4 1083 4928 1269 259 37
5 1031 5511 1492 275 56
6 975 4906 1008 286 60
7 706 4253 910 297 44
8 586 3157 813 266 82
9 1093 4732 1185 246 82
10 982 5163 1300 388 48
Summary:
Real Clear Politics combined all the polls and has:29 1212 4873 1180 269 34
30 1015 4084 890 205 32
June 1 638 3189 480 223 40
2 730 3053 732 200 22
3 1134 4669 1232 221 50
4 1083 4928 1269 259 37
5 1031 5511 1492 275 56
6 975 4906 1008 286 60
7 706 4253 910 297 44
8 586 3157 813 266 82
9 1093 4732 1185 246 82
10 982 5163 1300 388 48
Summary:
- South America, the region around India and World saw increases in new deaths.
- Vaccines:
- 160 potential vaccines under study
- Most mentioned:
- Moderna: uses messenger RNA and is in phase II of its clinical trial
- AstraZeneca/Oxford University: derived from a weakened version of the common cold virus--adenovirus, taken from chimpanzees--entering phase III...potential for delivery of 400 million doses before the end of 2020
- Johnson & Johnson: combines genes from coronavirus and a modified adenovirus
- Pfizer/BioNTech: four options with messenger RNA, and if one works, millions of dosages this year and hundreds of millions in 2021
- Inovio/Gates Foundation: DNA vaccine to begin phase II/II trial
- CanSino Biologics (China): genetically altered adenovirus with platform developed for the Ebola virus vaccine
- Trump's Operation Warp Speed has selected Moderna, Johnson & Johnson, Merck, Pfizer/BioNTech and AstraZeneca/Oxford
- Biden ahead of Trump 49.8 to 41.7, with a margin that is growing
- Fox News has it as a tie today
- Of the battleground states, Trump leads Biden only in North Carolina, and will piss off voters there by moving the Republican Convention to Florida
- The House looks safely Democratic
- Republicans will have 49 senators and Democrats 46
- Only 95 because 5 are toss-ups today
- Republicans will be defending 23 seats, and Democrats 12.
- UK
- Biden: 5/6 = 54%
- Trump:11/10 = 46%
- Bookies.com
- Biden: -114 = 53.27%
- Trump: +110 = 47.62%
- Michelle Obama= 1.99%
- Mike Pence = 1.49%
- Andrew Cuomo = 0.99%
However, in May of 2016 Hillary Clinton held a 75% to 25% lead over Donald Trump by UK bookies. Up to election day it was up to 80% for Clinton. But she lost. So what does this mean this year? Who knows.
Trump’s approval rating also took a massive hit in the latest Gallup poll, dropping to 39% as protests over racial equality and discriminatory policing continue nationwide. That’s down from 49% just a few weeks ago. The last five Presidents to win a second term in office were at 46% approval or above in June of their election years.
Also:
Trump's latest job approval rating fell significantly among all party groups, and by similar margins among each. This includes drops of seven percentage points among Republicans (to 85%) and independents (to 39%), and nine points among Democrats (to 5%).
Trump's latest job approval rating fell significantly among all party groups, and by similar margins among each. This includes drops of seven percentage points among Republicans (to 85%) and independents (to 39%), and nine points among Democrats (to 5%).
And:
Americans are also increasingly critical of the president's response to the coronavirus pandemic itself. Currently, 42% approve of the way Trump has handled the matter, down from 50% in the prior reading in late April, and 60% just after coronavirus infections spiked in many areas of the country in mid-March.
Americans are also increasingly critical of the president's response to the coronavirus pandemic itself. Currently, 42% approve of the way Trump has handled the matter, down from 50% in the prior reading in late April, and 60% just after coronavirus infections spiked in many areas of the country in mid-March.
Finally:
His current level of approval would make another term as president unlikely, given the historical relationship between job approval ratings and incumbent reelection. With five months to go before Election Day, there is still time for those ratings to improve and get back near the 50% level associated with incumbent reelection in the past, but also time for them to get worse and give the president even longer odds of winning a second term.
Job approval rating of incumbents seeking reelection:
Year June Just before election Won or Not
B Obama 2012 46 52 Yes
GW Bush 2004 49 48 Yes
B Clinton 1996 55 54 Yes
GHW Bush 1992 37 34 No
R Reagan 1984 54 58 Yes
J Carter 1980 32 37 No
D Eisenhower 1956 72 68 Yes
Also:
And, like in Trump's own 2016 victory when he won the presidency despite losing the popular vote, he would benefit if he maintains adequate support in the right mix of swing states. To that end, his job approval rating in key states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan may give additional insight into whether he can win a second term.
The latest on the vice-president running mate for Joe Biden, who has indicated it will be a female:
- While Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris have been widely mentioned, best not to take someone from the Senate, which should be a Democrat target of opportunity on November 3.
- A black female candidate has gained traction because of the national riots. However, Biden already has that sector locked up. All the possible candidates lack national recognition and gravitas. I think Condoleeza Rice, Republican who also worked for Jimmy Carter stands out as the person most adding value to the ticket.
- There will be more Hispanics than African-Americans voting this year, for the first time ever. The Hill mentions Senator Catherine Cortez Mastro (first Latina senator ever), Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham, former Labor Secretary Hilda Solis, Representative Veronica Escobar and Representative Sylvia Garcia. But you don't know them. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the youngest ever to serve in Congress, and would be an intriguing option, except that she is too young to legally fill that role.
- The gender is all wrong, but Governor Andrew Cuomo would probably be best for the party. Both coming from New York, just by himself he would disarm Donald Trump.
- My best guess? Condoleeza Rice, who is 55-years old. She is currently Denning Professor in Global Business and the Economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. In September she will become the next director of the Hoover Institution at Stanford. She was born in Alabama, and is kind of like Barack Obama, being 51% African, 40% European and 9% Asian/Native American. Her great-great-grandmother on her mother's side bore five children by different slave owners. She was on the National Security Council for President Jimmy Carter and Secretary of State for President George H.W. Bush. She almost became a concert pianist, and accompanied cellist Yo-Yo Ma, playing Johannes Brahms' Violin Sonata in D at Constitution Hall for the National Medal of Arts awards. Has never been married, and is living with a woman in Palo Alto. She is a member of the Augusta National Golf Club, home of the Masters.
The truth behind how well-funded hard-left extremists, the mainstream media, and Obama/Clinton holdovers in the government bureaucracy have combined with clandestine forces within the US intelligence apparatus – the “Deep State” -- to block and undermine Trump’s every move. At 2:45 a.m. ET on Nov. 8, 2016, television networks announced to a stunned nation that Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral had gone for Donald Trump, making him the president-elect of the United States, defying all odds in a surreal victory that sent the Deep State into an immediate sense of panic. By dawn on Nov. 9, 2016, the Deep State forces that expected Hillary Clinton to continue the leftist politics of Barack Obama were already planning Donald Trump’s demise. What emerged from the hard left was a political strategy c...
- Opening of tallest man-made structure the Burj Khalifa, 2717 feet tall.
- 7 magnitude earthquake strikes Haiti, killing over 316,000. The deadliest occurred in 1556: Shaanxi, China, 8.0, causing 825,000 deaths.
- 2010 Winter Olympics in Vancouver and Whistler, Canada.
- 8,8 magnitude earthquake in Chile, triggering a tsunami which killed at least 525.
- Deepwater Horizon oil drilling platform explosion kills 11 workers and spills a lot oil in the Gulf of Mexico.
- Scientists conclude that Neanderthals and Homo sapiens interbred.
- H1N1 declared a pandemic by WHO.
- Solar Impulse completes a 24-hour flight.
- Germany makes final reparation payment for World War I.
- Antimatter trapped at CERN.
Today, I begin my journey. I will visit Seoul, Hanoi and other parts of Vietnam, Cambodia, Chiang Mai and Bangkok in Thailand, New Delhi, Barcelona, Munich, Helsinki, Copenhagen, Amsterdam, London, DC, New York City, Las Vegas and Los Angeles. I will keep you informed. This the view from the First Class Lounge at Narita (I'm on a Star Alliance Around the World Package).
- Wrote India Sucks. This turned out to be the most commented blog I've had at the site. 87 at last count. Air pollution was horrendous, and that was just one of....
- Flew from Delhi to Munich to Barcelona. An incredible day that truly concerned me attempting to leave New Delhi...but, after a whiteout in Munich, safely arrived 24 hours later in Barcelona.
- In Munich I ran smack into Fasching, like Mardi Gras, but in the winter. Totally unexpected carnival of a hedonistic Germany. Also had my best lunch ever.
- Copenhagen had the #3 rated restaurant in the world, Noma. It went on to be #1 for a number of years and I got to know Chef Rene. Read about my first experience there.
- I went to Amsterdam and The Huffington Post contacted me to alert their readers to the tsunami heading for Hawaii.
- So I said okay, never told them I was in Europe, turned on the television in my Hotel Pulitzer room and in comfort could watch CNN providing a graphic view of what could have been the end of Honolulu.
- I recall the day well. I had stopped by a head shop and had the nerve to buy a small amount of magic truffles. I did not know that you had to have it on an empty stomach. I dropped half of the amount into a glass of Cabernet Sauvignon, and proceeded to write the tsunami article. Nothing happened, but, see the next bullet for Amsterdam.
- I took another around the world trip in the Fall.
- Fairmont Mara Safari Club.
- The Wonder of Qatar has remained as the most accessed posting.
- Magic Truffles in Amsterdam.
- Here are some photos.
Let me next go to a heartwarming story about the Waldorf Astoria.
I stayed there once, and remember seeing a Broadway show. It was 10:30PM when I began walking back to the hotel. It was only a couple of blocks away. I should have caught a cab anyway, for one block, it turned out, was dark, with strewn waste disposal containers, and no one but me. I made it the hotel okay. Incidentally, if you did click on to that story, it is true.
The Waldorf Astoria closed in 2017, but after $1 billion of renovations, reopened in November of 2019. It is now owned by an insurance company from China, which was taken over by the central government for insurmountable problems.
I'll close with a fabulous photo from China of their Zhangye Danxia Mountains:
Read about these rainbow mountains in Forbes.
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I stayed there once, and remember seeing a Broadway show. It was 10:30PM when I began walking back to the hotel. It was only a couple of blocks away. I should have caught a cab anyway, for one block, it turned out, was dark, with strewn waste disposal containers, and no one but me. I made it the hotel okay. Incidentally, if you did click on to that story, it is true.I'll close with a fabulous photo from China of their Zhangye Danxia Mountains:
Read about these rainbow mountains in Forbes.
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