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Tuesday, August 12, 2008

BLUE REVOLUTION IN THE ORIENT (Part 6)

The following is excerpted from Chapter 4 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth:

Japan has done more for the Blue Revolution than any country. While the Japan Marine Science and Technology Center, now under their department of education equivalent, is focused on ocean science, scattered researchers, all colleagues, have ventured forth:

o Takenobu Kajikawa, when he was a researcher at Tsukuba, conducted the initial at-sea artificial upwelling tests from 1989 to 1990 in Toyama Bay, next to where my mother grew up. From a depth of 250 meters (829 feet), 26,000 tons of deep ocean water were mixed each day with double the amount of surface water to determine if any additional growth could be observed. This was really only a small addition, as the Jinzu River, which flows into the bay, contributed 500 times more fluid. Alas, nothing of significance occurred, even with two weeks of continuous operation. Professor Kajikawa moved on to teach at Shonan Institute.

o The Marino-Forum 21 project, chaired by Professor Mac Takahashi, under the Fisheries Agency of Japan, advanced the Takumi Project to enhance marine productivity using artificial upwelling in demonstration from 2000 to 2004. The primary author, Kazuyuki Ouchi, passed on his paper to me at a next generation fisheries meeting held in Tokyo in 2005, and I noticed that the second author was Koji Otsuka of Osaka Prefecture University, who spent a sabbatical year a decade ago at the Institute I directed. Fuel oil is used in the process to suck up ocean water from 200 meters (656 feet) Sagami Bay (located just south of Tokyo Bay), and a density current generator releases this fluid and surface waters at a depth of 20 meters. The second phase of this project will run until 2008 and hopes to measure enhanced phytoplankton and fish production.

o Japan has several deep ocean water laboratories now producing marketable products. Kochi, Toyama, Okinawa and Shizuoka labs first came on line, and up to ten more are in various stages of construction or planning. As in Hawaii, potable water appears to be the main commodity, but there is also a range of seafood and sea vegetables being marketed. Precious coral is also being researched at Kochi.

My ocean presentations in the Orient, especially Japan and Korea, focused on the simple fact that they were #1 and #2 in shipbuilding, but with no natural resources. As their shipyards were looking for work, wouldn’t it make sense to build grazing platforms, powered by OTEC, to produce hydrogen or methanol from marine biomass or harvest marine hydrates, while creating next generation fisheries and new habitats for their growing population? While the U.S. only doubled our jurisdiction by proclamation of our Exclusive Economic Zone (the 200 nautical mile region around our coastlines) in 1983, Japan increased their owned space by a factor of 10. The Japan Marine Science and Technology Center (JAMSTEC), operating out of their Prime Minister’s Office, then, was supposedly charged to develop these programs. Unfortunately, it turned out that the United States so influenced Japanese marine policy, that all JAMSTEC wanted to do was to have the deepest presence (submersibles) and build a better science ship. They were convinced by our big ocean scientists to emulate them. As a result, Japan, too, had no interest in doing real things in the ocean. Remarkable!

The person I got closest to triggering more ocean development was Isamu Yamashita, who, like me, was a chemical engineer. He graduated from Tokyo University, became president of Mitsui Engineering and Shipbuilding, chairman of the Shipbuilders’ Association of Japan, vice-chairman of the Keidanren (Federation of Economic Organizations, that is, the voice of industrial Japan), and, at the age of 76, chairman of the East Japan Railway Company, the largest of the Japanese National Railway regions. For a time, he was also chairman of the board of JAMSTEC. I had first met Mr. Yamashita around 1980 when he visited Senator Spark Matsunaga in Washington, D.C., where we talked about OTEC. I had several dinners with him over time, even toured he and his wife around the Big Island of Hawaii, and just when he was so influential over JAMSTEC, I gave him my most eloquent pitch about why that organization only did marine science and would it not be more useful to shift their mission to develop ocean products for Japan and society at large? Being an engineer, he agreed with me, but the next time I saw him, I asked him how the conversion was proceeding. His expression was something on the order of, horrors, there is nothing I can do. And he was chairman of the board with incredible eminence.

South Korea, with an EEZ four times its land space, was another of my subjects. Japan had so many other options for economic development that they can be excused for their clueless waffling in the ocean. Korea is equally desperate for natural resources, has immense capability in building floating platforms, has a way of picking targets of opportunity and was an ideal candidate for ocean development. Over the years I must have traveled 25 times to Korea, toured their high tech facilities, struck up an alliance with several universities and became familiar with their governmental system.

Kee Hyong Kim obtained his PhD from Penn State University, and at a relatively young age, became the first Minister of Science and Technology for South Korea. Our first meeting was awkwardly disastrous, for I was staying at the Lotte Hotel, about three miles from the Hilton Hotel in Seoul, where dinner was to be held with Kim, another Kim, who was head of the Korean Intelligence Agency, and Doe Hwan Chun, who had recently stepped down as president of the country. I left my hotel half an hour before dinner time, but saw a long line waiting for taxis. It was raining. After ten minutes with the line not at all moving, I went to the streets, but only got wet attempting to flag a taxi down. In desperation, I hired a hotel car and chauffeur, who got me to the Hilton 35 minutes late, for the traffic was a mess. Visibly drenched, I charged into the dinner room to see them casually discussing national politics. No one seemed particularly upset about my tardiness. Dinner went well. Only a few weeks later, former President Chun was jailed on charges of corruption, treason and mutiny. He was sentenced to death, but was eventually pardoned by President-elect Dae Jung Kim. There are a lot of Kims in Korea.

Kee Hyong joined the Fellows in Renewable Energy Engineering Board at the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute and came to Hawaii for a couple of events. We began meeting for dinner on virtually all my trips to Korea. He helped form and became the first chairman of the board of the Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, and toured me around their laboratories located in Taejon. We talked about colored pearls, materials from volcanoes, the Blue Revolution and sundry other fanciful topics. It was all very enjoyable, but the furthest we got in our planning was the Renaissance Project, mentioned in the previous hydrogen chapter.

Inha University is another story worthy of telling. Amazingly, on July 4, 2007, if you had typed “Inha University” and “Sigman Rhee” into Google, you would have gotten zilch. Same for Ask. Sigman Rhee received degrees from George Washington University, Harvard and Princeton, went back to Korea, got into political trouble, spent an exile period in Hawaii, and returned to become the first president of South Korea. He was said to be brutal and authoritarian, but in 1954, President Rhee formed Inha University, with some funds contributed from Hawaii. Inha is a combined contraction of Incheon (where the campus and new international airport is now located) and Hawaii.

Seoung-Yong Hong, in the mid-nineties (time, not age), then, a middle ranking administrator in the South Korean government, led a small group to the U.S. to explore the potential of their country forming a Ministry of the Ocean. One of their stops was in Honolulu, and I got to know Dr. Hong. Well, Japan does not have one, nor does the United States, but South Korea created a Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries in 1996. Soon after this formation, I gave a talk on the Blue Revolution to Seoung-Yong’s office staff when he was promoted to President of the Korea Maritime Institute. I went to visit him at Inha University nearly a decade later, for he had become president there, and he gleefully showed me the blueprint, he said, for the Blue Revolution, a report he had just received, the James Watkins U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy manuscript. I did not have the heart to tell him that, no, the reality is that the marine scientists pulled off another coup, and the Watkins report supports what amounts to an ultra global ocean observation system, Joe Vadus and I term as super GOOS. Yet, Dr. Hong could someday soon become minister of the ocean in South Korea. The Blue Revolution could well rest in his future hands because he seems to have that will.

Well, there is also China, which showed the earliest presence in international waters when Zheng He, a eunuch in the Imperial Court, supposedly six feet seven inches tall (about two meters), in the early to mid 1400s, before Columbus, supposedly circumnavigated the world and sailed to the Americas and the Persian Gulf with as many as 30,000 men and 300 ships. Thus, He might have discovered the New World. Columbus’ flagship, the Santa Maria, was all of 75 feet long, with 3 masts. Zheng’s commanding ship was 400 feet (120 meters) long, with nine masts. Perhaps someday I’ll make a China presence.
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The price of crude oil dropped to $113/barrel today, but the DJI saw a 140 point fall to 11,642, one of the rare times both went in the same direction.
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Most likely, Tropical Depression Kika, which is far away southwest of Hawaii, will further go west and dissipate. However, there is chance that it could strengthen and turn north. Tropical Depression Hernan, at 35 MPH, is 1300 miles east southeast of Hilo, and is expected to become a remnant.
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Monday, August 11, 2008

BLUE REVOLUTION WITH EUROPE (Part 5)

The following was largely excerpted from Chapter 4 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth.
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In the mid 1990’s I was invited (meaning they paid my way) several times to Europe, which seemed more inclined to pursue the Blue Revolution. Germany, and in particular, one of their shipyards, expressed serious interest. A planning gathering in Lisbon, Portugal, I thought, had especial significance, for this was the decision-making session for the 1998 Lisbon World Expo, focusing on the ocean. The described plans, however, did not show any evidence of a progressive ocean event. The previous ocean expo was held in Okinawa, Japan in 1975, where Aquapolis, a large floating platform, was unveiled, designed by Japan ocean architect, Kiyonori Kikutake, a wonderful and creative man who I later met.

It occurred to me then that, wouldn’t it be a magnificent gesture for Japan to refurbish and tow Aquapolis to Lisbon and have it again serve as the centerpiece, as a gesture of East-West cooperation and a connection of the past to the future? The fact that it had withstood numerous typhoons and still was serviceable after twenty years was remarkable. I had twice gone to Okinawa to tour the platform to verify the seaworthiness and discuss future options. So in 1994 at that planning conference, I took Professor Noriyuki Nasu to a Fado restaurant and tried to plant that seed. In Japan, there is usually an elderly leader of the ocean, usually a former University of Tokyo ocean professor, as Nasu was, or a company CEO, as too was Isamu Yamashita (see Part 6). Professor Mario Ruivo, chairman of the Liaison Committee with the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission, appeared interested. Alas, this effort never went anywhere.

When I toured the eventual 1998 Lisbon Expo, I was fascinated by the terrestrial architecture and variety of cuisine, but totally disappointed that this ocean expo wasted its opportunity to feature the sea around their city. Even sadder, Aquapolis, from all reports, was purchased by a company from Taiwan and sold for scrap.

At the Lisbon conference, as in a couple of other European forums, I gave a talk entitled, “Colonization of the Open Ocean." In 1991 Athelstan Spilhaus, the father of the Sea Grant Program way back in 1963, wrote in Sea Technology, “Colonization of the Ocean.” At one of those inimitable ocean gatherings, I chanced to share a good portion of a bottle of scotch with this marine luminary, who totally impressed me as a person of vision. In respect to this grand old man of the seas, I expanded his title and embellished his vision. I mentioned that earlier colonialism featured culture clashes, while the open ocean was the next frontier for new resources, devoid of people. Well, whales live there, and there still is Greenpeace, but I’ve previously had decent relations with them. Where else could we find, in the tropical ocean—free to any nation—nutrient rich fluids available a few hundred meters below the surface, with deep ocean waters capable of combining with the warmer surface fluids to generate OTEC power to bring this pathogen free nourishment into the photic (where the sun shines) zone to trigger new growth in marine biomass and seafood. Green chemicals, strategic metals, biopharmaceuticals, biofuels, fertilizer and more could be produced.

But my forays into the Old Continent proved futile and nothing happened. I like to think, however, that some of the seeds might still sprout and it will only be a matter of time when a new Columbus will discover the open ocean for colonization.
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The price of crude slipped to $114.67/barrel. Predictably, the DJI rose, 48 to 11,782.
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Tropical Depression Kika went west and is no longer a threat to Hawaii. Hurricane Hernan is now a Tropical Storm, with winds at 70 MPH. It continues to move westward on a path that will take it south of Hawaii, and should weaken over the next couple of days. However, Hernan could then strengthen again and impact Hawaii in about a week.
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Sunday, August 10, 2008

EARLY POLITICS OF OTEC

The following is excerpted from Chapter 4 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth. I place the beginnings of the modern day development of ocean thermal energy conversion with the first OTEC congressional legislation in 1979.
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Hawaii had just shown for the first time in July, through the Mini-OTEC barge under the leadership of Lockheed, that it was possible to produce net positive electricity from the temperature differential of the ocean. I had just started work in the U.S. Senate for what would subsequently be a three year period, and Senator Spark Matsunaga asked me to develop a bill to authorize funds for OTEC. Rich Woldin, also newly hired, and a member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, wrote the first draft and I provided comments.

In those days Democrats controlled the White House and Congress, plus, we were in the midst of the second energy crisis when no one in his right mind would actually pick up a visitor at Dulles Airport, but would do so if the arrival was at National Airport (now Reagan). The difference was distance and the requirement to join a gasoline line. Any energy bill, thus, passed without much debate.

On October 15 of that year there was a Senate hearing, and the USDOE representative, Bennett Miller, who later became a friend of mine, testified that the administration did NOT want the OTEC program accelerated. This was standard USDOE protocol, for the administration generally abhorred the interference of Congress on anything. So, as a staff member, how do you maintain positive relationships with government officials with this kind of attitude? You simply talked things out behind the scene and treated congressional hearings as just a stage of the process. Whether we agreed on anything or not, Democratic or Republican, the key to long term success was to maintain a trusting rapport. Lifetime alliances generally resulted, which worked to my favor when I returned to the University of Hawaii and directed the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute and served as vice president of development for the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research. Almost a third of a century later, many remain close friends, I can’t identify even one person I can cite as an antagonist and some are still working for the USDOE in D.C.

There was a follow-on reception after the hearing, with hula dancers and the usual assortment of Hawaiian food and drinks. Lobbyists seeking advantage paid for these events. We also passed out flashlights charged with electricity from Mini-OTEC and small bottles of seawater from the ocean depths. Senators generally avoid these receptions unless personally asked to come by the sponsoring Senator. Matsunaga’s bill did have 20 co-sponsors, but many Senators found their way to the reception mostly because of a fortuitous circumstance. There were roll call votes through the early evening and Sparky brought back with him streams of Senators who had to eat something anyway. Within months the bill passed into law.
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The price of oil snuck up to $116.62/barrel over the weekend.
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Tropical Depression Kika is about a thousand miles south southwest of Hawaii, and will continue to weaken. Hurricane Hernan, at 85 MPH, is turning to pass Hawaii to the south, but should weaken over the next couple days.
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Friday, August 8, 2008

THE BLUE REVOLUTION (Part 4)

Wow, that was an incredible opening ceremony in Beijing. The XXIX Olympiad started at 8:08PM on 8/8/08. Why so many eights? In the Orient, what sounds like something significant defines. Eight is pronounced baat in Mandarin and faat in Cantonese, and both represent prosperity, money and status. Oh, China already has two gold medals and the Czech Republic one. Seventeen days to go.
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The following is largely excerpted from Chapter 4 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth:
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The next frontier is most definitely the open ocean. Largely not owned by any nation—although the United Nations might someday find a way to claim it—nutrient-rich fluids at 4 degrees Celsius are available 1000 meters below the 20 degree latitude band surface around the equator. Just in this natural solar collector region, if only ONE part in TEN THOUSAND of the insolation (Incoming SOLAr radiaTION) can be converted to useful energy, the needs of society would be satisfied.

This warm portion of the ocean is currently characterized as a wet desert, for the net primary productivity is low, at approximately one tenth that of tropical rain forests. Why so low? Near the equator, wind and current forces are not sufficiently large to cause natural upwelling. Thus, the chain of marine growth is weak. Hawaii, at just above 20 degrees north, is actually a poor location for fish production. Our whales eat in Alaskan waters and come to Hawaii just to breed. Yet, because there is almost ten times more of this ocean space (than rain forests), the total productivities of the jungles and the seas are similar. However, if artificial upwelling can be utilized to support marine growth only at typical land growth efficiencies, we can have ten times the annual production from this portion of the ocean around the equator. An earlier discussion about marine biomass revealed that ocean crops can be ten times more productive than land counterparts. Thus, there is a factor of 100 greater potential possible in these currently infertile waters. Civilization would thus have a new territory capable of producing enormous amounts of marine growth, with an intriguing greenhouse carbon sink opportunity. Let the Great Open Ocean Rush begin!

On land, the food chain is simple, as for example, cows eat grass/corn and provide meat and milk. In the ocean, it all begins with phytoplankton, microscopic plants, which start the food chain. They best grow where there are nutrients. When sea life at the surface dies, it drops to the lower depths and decomposes into compounds of nitrogen, phosphorous and so on, that formed them. If you go down to a depth of 1000 meters (3281 feet), the water temperature is around 4 °C (39°F) and nutrients such as phosphorous and nitrogen are 200 times higher for the former and 20 times for the latter, compared to the concentration at the surface. These ratios will vary, but, if anything, are higher at greater depths, and the analysis is a lot more complicated than I’m making it sound. But under the right conditions, these deeper, more nutrient-rich waters, are naturally brought the surface by a combination of temperature, currents and winds. These conditions seem to be ideal in the cooler and more northerly portions of the oceans. This is why fishing fleets are most successful where the temperatures are cold. Not because fish grows more efficiently at colder temperatures, but because of the availability of sustenance. Sufficient nutrients can only be found in one-tenth of one percent of the ocean where natural upwelling occurs.

Phytoplankton and zooplankton bloom, krill (very small shrimp—tens of thousands per cubic meter when small, but can grow to 6 centimeters at maturity, and is said to be the most successful animal species on the planet, with just one of them, Euphasia superba, equal in weight to all the seafood annually caught) consume them, to be eaten by smaller fish varieties, which in turn are devoured by larger sea creatures. Detritus (decaying life) are then used by crustaceans, then bacteria, to re-start the cycle of growth. At each trophic (food stage) level, 90% of the energy/nutrients are “lost.” This means that, given limited nutrients, you need 100 pounds of sardines to produce 10 pounds of tuna to support 1 pound of marlin. To maximize seafood production, then, if fish is the marketable product, find a species that eats at the lowest possible trophic level. Find one that thrives on algae.

The challenge is whether we can upwell these nutrient-rich fluids and start the growth cycle where the sun shines. David Karl, Roger Lucas and their team from the University of Hawaii and other institutions have found thin layers of marine life forms, call them plankton soup, at the interface of flowing currents. They tend to come and go and are regularly seen only a few degrees north of Hawaii. Can we start this growth using deep ocean water and then control the system such that the complete seafood support cycle can be maintained?

All fisheries are now in some state of decline, some more serious than others, and a few in very critical condition. The World population will continue to grow for some time, and nutritional patterns show a shift away from red meat to seafood. At one time fish was cheaper than meat, chicken and pork. In most markets today, seafood is more expensive. Thus, the change has already occurred. But the seas only produce about 100 million metric tons of food/year, while terrestrial food production is five billion metric tons. Thus, with more than 70% of surface, the oceans only produce 2% of the food we consume.

More than 40% of all fish caught comes from that 0.1% portion of the ocean where natural upwelling exists. But, it is said that the sea already provides more edible protein than land. What if we are able to artificially upwell at profit? This thought led to John Bardach and I co-chairing, with Michael Champ and Jay Weidler a National Science Foundation workshop in September of 1991 on “Engineering Research Needs for Off-Shore Mariculture Systems.” Now, one doesn’t just host such a gathering, attaching the cachet of NSF to it. You need to pull together a team to write a proposal and submit it to a specific scientific government agency interested in that topic. While this would be of the unsolicited variety, there is a peer review, and if the results are compelling, funds are provided. Clearly, if you have a positive relationship with the NSF (or any) program manager, the odds improve for a positive response. Norman Caplan of NSF, and two of his part-time associates, Joseph Vadus and Michael Champ, were particularly instrumental in helping secure the grant. But of course, they, too, felt that this ocean technology system was long overdue and worthy of support. Produced was a 558 page bible on open ocean mariculture, edited by Gregg Hirata. These individuals are all key leaders of the Blue Revolution.

Picture, then, a grazing plantship, powered by OTEC, supporting a marine biomass plantation co-existing with a next generation fishery. The bottom of the pipe is at a depth of 1000 meters. The engineering of the cold water cell still needs to be perfected and the life cycle of this ultimate ocean ranch remains a scientific challenge. The floating structure itself can in time be enlarged into an industrial park or city.

Electricity, air conditioning, aquaculture, pharmaceuticals, freshwater, strategic minerals, biofuels, hydrogen and much more can be produced. In addition to being a manufacturing platform, this grazing ship would serve as a commercial incubator for next generation industries, environmental observatory and scientific laboratory. An armada of these floating structures can in time be networked into an industrial park, then a city. A future stage could well be status as a nation. Mauritius is a member of the United Nations with a population of about a million people, and there is interest on their part to eventually float these platforms to create new nations.

A very complete treatment of the history and applications related to deep ocean water is a book by my namesake and friend, Professor Masayuki Mac Takahashi, formerly of Tokyo University and now with Kochi University, entitled DOW: Deep Ocean Water as Our Next Natural Resource. He covers all the details, with photos and figures, and even mentions the Blue Revolution.
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Oil is free falling, down to $115/barrel for the weekend. Predictably, the DJI jumped 303 to 11734.
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Tropical Storm Kika is acting very strangely. Only 35 MPH, located 700 miles south of Hawaii, Kika suddenly turned south, then is now, again, going west, and should strengthen. Hernan is now a hurricane, and will gain definition and strength over the next couple of days. The projected path shifts from north to south of Hawaii at seeming random, but there is mostly uncertainty. The odds are that he will weaken by the time it approaches Hawaii.
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Thursday, August 7, 2008

THE GREEN REVOLUTION

The story of the Blue Revolution continues. However, let us step back in time and take a look at the Green Revolution, also largely from SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth [BY THE WAY, FOR THOSE WHO ARE NEW TO BLOGS AND THE WORLD WIDE WEB, WHEN YOU SEE THIS BLUE (SOMETIMES A DIFFERENT COLOR, ACTUALLY) UNDERLINED STATEMENT, YOU CAN CLICK ON IT, AND YOU GET SENT TO THE WEB PAGE OF THAT SUBJECT. YOU AUTOMATICALLY WILL BE RETURNED TO THIS PAGE WHEN YOU DELETE THAT PAGE--AND IF YOU DON'T KNOW HOW TO DO THIS TRICKY MANEUVER, THAT IS, AVOIDING THAT http://whatever.whatever/ CONFUSING ADDRESS WHEN YOU CREATE OWN BLOG, LET ME KNOW. IF YOU CLICKED ON THIS http STATEMENT, YOU WILL BE SENT TO WHATEVER THAT PAGE REPRESENTS, WHICH WILL PROBABLY BE SOMEWHERE THAT SAYS THIS DOES NOT EXIST.]:
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The terrestrial equivalent is the Green Revolution. The credit for its initiation might well be given to Vice President Henry A. Wallace, who, with Raymond Fosdick, president of the Rockefeller Foundation, recognized that controlling diseases in developing areas only prolonged slow starvation. This is the same dilemma faced by poverty crusaders, who, with success, are then faced with the next issue: having saved a few young lives, how do you now improve their quality of life to make living worthwhile.

In 1944, the Rockefeller and Ford Foundations established an agricultural experiment station in Mexico, and only four years later, Mexico became food self-sufficient. Wheat production, for example, improved from 700 kg/ha (1.9 tons/acre) in 1930 to 2400 kg/ha (6.5 tons/acre) by 1965, a factor improvement of 3.4. However, potato production was more spectacular, with a ratio increase of 7.46. A young Iowa wheat expert, Norman Borlaug, one of the first employees of the Mexican station, went on to win the Nobel Prize in 1970. My early partner in the Blue Revolution, Hawaii State Senator Richard Matsuura, worked with Borlaug in India.

No one realized this was a green revolution until U.S. Agency for International Development director, William Gaud, in 1968, coined the term. What agronomists did was increase grain production and durability by using new hybrid strains (through cross-breeding), multiple cropping, simple irrigation, fertilizers, pesticides and heavy machinery. Part of the magic was due to the use of petroleum. The worldwide grain production increase bordered on the fantastic: 14 million tons in 1950 versus 144 million tons in 1990. Famine decreased by 20% and caloric consumption per capita increased by 25%.

Wheat is an incredible life form. Its 21 chromosomes contain 16 billion base pairs, supposedly 40 times more than rice and five times that of humans. About 11,000 years ago, in what is now Turkey, wheat was first planted, and has gone through several mutations. This grain reached Europe in 3000 B.C. and China around 2000 B.C., where rice was already being cultivated. Rice itself has been reported in Science Daily to have the smallest of its 12 chromosomes having 22 million base pairs, so the genetics of grain appear to still be evolving. Today, there is a bit more than 200 million hectares (ha, 500 million acres) of wheat in production and 150 million ha in rice.

Mind you, anything good has its critics, too. Vandana Shiva of India wrote that the Green Revolution was a failure, as genetic diversity was reduced, crops became more vulnerable to pests, soil fertility dropped, small farmers gave way to large corporations, and the subsequent family impoverishment led to increased conflicts. There is now a need for Green Revolution II, as yield increases have, indeed, diminished, aquifers are drying up, top soil is disappearing, salt concentrations are more and more contaminating the land, pests are becoming chemically resistant, the population is still rising, environmental problems have grown and costs are increasing. Distribution problems are particularly still messy.

Then, there is the matter of genetic engineering. Europe and Japan are particularly careful about Franken or transgenic foods, and the United States, somewhat surprisingly, seems bullish on radiated and genetically modified (GM) supermarket products. Ah, again, the power of the farm lobby.

There will be controversy. Monsanto and Conagra could well become the next primary industrial defendants in the courts. But, more and more, GM foods will provide natural vaccines against infectious diseases, higher nutrient value and lower costs (because crop maturity can be accelerated, for time means money). Much of this transition—because they don’t have to be eaten—will occur in GM cotton, flowers and fibrous plants to make plastics and transportation fuel. Irrigation water is a looming crisis. Let me repeat this: we will increasingly have severe problems with irrigation and drinking water in the coming decades. The bottom line, though, is that water is a cost of energy issue, unless you live in Kansas or Las Vegas, where severe measures will need to be taken before 2100.

Finally, I have been advising a group with a patent to grow land crops in the ocean. Can you imagine if someone had the patent to grow land plants on land? So someday you might actually see “amber waves of super-grain” on the ocean.
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The price of crude oil sneaked up a bit today, to just about $120/barrel. As could be expected, the DJI dropped, but by 225 to 11,431, amidst signs of a worrisome unemployment level and a further weakening economy.
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There are now two tropical storms in the Pacific, Kika and Hernan. Kika, with winds at 40 MPH, is the one that spontaneously formed southwest of the Big Island, is moving west northwest, and should strengthen over the next few days, but threaten Johnson Island, not Hawaii. Just don't turn north, please. Hernan, my friend from Chile (yes, I do have a contact with such a name), is now at 65 MPH and will become a hurricane in a day or two. The projected track is a beeline to the Big Island. But as they say, it will then meet cooler waters, and should weaken before hitting Hawaii. Hernan, go back to Chile, which would be some accomplishment, as no hurricane has ever crossed the equator.
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Wednesday, August 6, 2008

OTEC ELECTRICITY CAN BE COMPETITIVE TODAY

The following derives from Chapter 4 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth, except that adjustments were made for the sudden rise of oil prices. The key new point is that OTEC electricity should today be competitive at those locations continuing to use primarily oil to generate electricity. Hawaii is now a particularly attractive site.
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The electricity from next generation one MW OTEC facilities will cost more than $0.25/kWh. There have been island communities long in this price range, with some approaching an unsubsidized $1/kWh. With freshwater, aquaculture, air-conditioning and other co-products, a major resort or military base could justify the installation an OTEC power plant, and Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean appears to be a potential customer for the U.S. Department of Defense. If they were interested when oil was selling for $50/barrel, certainly, at $120/bbl, the economics must now look more reasonable.

A 1 MW OTEC facility can produce up to 3500 cubic meters per day of potable water. The value added operational and marketing benefits of natural energy and self-sustainability are exploitable advantages. While the U.S. Department of Defense has carried out several studies to consider this alternative, there are hopes that an international funding organization, such as the World Bank or Asian Development Bank, will have the will to break from tradition to symbolically demonstrate the value of this sustainable option.

With water credit, it has been reported by PICHTR that a land-based 1 MW plant could be built to produce electricity at $0.25/kWh and 5 MW for about $0.10/kWh. A 50 MW floating closed cycle hybrid OTEC facility, with water sold at $3/1000 gallon, could produce electricity for $.06/kWh (1990 dollars). Appreciating that nothing much has been researched over the past two decades, and using 2008 dollars, this latter estimation should now be a bit more than 10 cents / kilowatt-hour, certainly of interest in Hawaii, when the residential rates are hovering in the range of 30 cents / kWh.

Can 100 MW and larger OTEC plantships someday produce hydrogen and other clean energy products? Studies are available detailing the production of hydrogen via water electrolysis on 50-400 MW OTEC platforms at costs low enough to manufacture on board and delivered to land-based users of ammonia and fertilizers to compete with conventional options. A 64 MW system could produce 8270 tons (one million GJ net heating value) of hydrogen per year.

A floating plantship can process 107 tons of coal per day (1.24kg/sec) to produce 47,400 tons of methanol annually, and because of the hydrogen from OTEC electrolysis, provide a 1:1.3 ratio of coal to methanol, whereas, typical plants today have a 1:0.6 ratio. There would also be the carbon sequestration benefit as mentioned earlier. Another variation, a renewable one, would use marine biomass as the feedstock to replace coal, for a large portion of the overall coal cost is just the delivery.

The rise of crude prices have now made OTEC electricity commercially competitive for sites using oil products to generate electricity. With water, carbon, and/or co-product credits, the promise increases for niche island applications today. In the mid term, as oil becomes even more expensive, OTEC hydrogen and other fuels and chemicals can become attractive substitutes to carbon fuels. In the very long term, the concept of artificial upwelling for broad scale marine development with concomitant environmental benefits looms large as a productive future.
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Crude continues to slip on reports of higher inventories, down to $118.70 today. The DJI jumped 40 to 11656.
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Edouardo has weakened to 15MPH and is headed for the Dallas vicinity. It dumped more than 6 inches of rain on portions of the coastal zones and 3 inches in the Houston region. ALERT! Two organizing storms suddenly popped up in the Pacific, both now tropical depressions. One formed just southwest of the Big Island, will head west and pass at least 600 miles off South Point. Kika will most likely become a hurricane. Hope it doesn't suddenly turn north over the weekend. Remember Iniki? The real historic monster occurred in 2006, when Superhurricane Ioke formed south of the Big Island and went on to become a Category 5 hurricane, lasting for 19 days and dissipating over Alaska. Yes, Alaska. The second storm at 35 MPH is further east, should also strengthen, and is predicted to head towards Hawaii.
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Tuesday, August 5, 2008

THE BLUE REVOLUTION (Part 3)

OTEC for Environmental Remediation
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The widespread use of OTEC would reduce fossil fuel combustion. In addition, should a means be developed to promote marine biomass growth using the deep ocean nutrients, it is possible that carbon dioxide can be absorbed from the atmosphere to further reduce global climate warming. But this might need to involve the addition of an iron compound, a trace metal required by microorganisms to make enzymes, and nitrogen. Companies have actually been formed to take advantage of carbon sequestration using this technique.

Wouldn’t it be wonderful if the nutrient-rich upwelled fluids could be utilized to cultivate a marine microorganism that can take the carbon dioxide from both the effluent and the atmosphere, form a solid carbon compound, and drop it to the bottom of the ocean, to stay there for eons, like millions of years? Well, actually, coccolithophores are single-celled algae, about one-hundredth of a mm in diameter, a hundred million cells per liter, which does exactly that, converting carbon dioxide into carbonate (-CO3). The White Cliffs of Dover, for example, are mostly coccolithophores. Nothing is perfect, of course, as this algae also produce dimethylsulfide, a contributor to global warming, and only a small fraction of its shell ends up as rock at the sea bottom. All in all, though, there is something to this process that intrigues me.

The combination of a floating coal power plant with an OTEC facility to enable deep ocean sequestration of CO2 has been proposed. OTEC uses cold deep sea water as a thermal sink, while ocean sequestration treats it as a repository for anthropogenic (man-made) CO2. These technologies have the potential for synergy, including the sharing of platforms and equipment, addition of CO2 to the warm water OTEC intakes to prevent biofouling of pipelines and heat exchangers, exploiting the negatively buoyant CO2 enriched sea water to drive part of the upward water transport for OTEC, reduction of pumping costs for sequestration, and carbon tax credits.

As an early next step, the International Ocean Alliance Floating Platform Summit suggested a demonstration on a decommissioned oil platform, combining a 10-100 MW fossil fuel power plant, small OTEC system and various associated co-products for testing in Hawaiian waters. In the long term, as OTEC grazing plant ships will be located in the warmest portion of the oceans, where hurricanes are formed, it might be possible to eliminate or reduce the intensity of these ocean storms. We will re-visit this subject in a later section on the Blue Revolution and the environment.
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Oil continues to drop and today fell to $119/barrel. As would be expected, a significant slip generally triggers a large jump in the Dow Jones Industrials: up 332 to 11,616.
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Tropical Storm Edouard never became a hurricane, but reached wind speeds of around 65 MPH and hit the upper Texas coast. A lot of rain resulted, but the storm should quickly dissipate as it moves into the state as a tropical depression.
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Monday, August 4, 2008

THE BLUE REVOLUTION (Part 2)

This is Part 2 of the Blue Revolution, largely from Chapter 4 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth:
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The modern history of OTEC is mostly Hawaiian, with a sprinkling of Japanese, although India was at one time ready to join the net-positive club. The monumental breakthrough was Mini-OTEC, a venture headed by Lockheed, reaching a closed-cycle net output of 18 kW on a government barge off Keahole Point, Big Island of Hawaii, in 1979. A few years later, a Japanese group succeeded with a 120 kW gross system, also of closed-cycle design, on Nauru, but was, like Claude, wiped out by a hurricane. OTEC-1 tested a one MW size heat exchanger and large coldwater pipe in Hawaiian waters in the 80’s, and a 260 kW gross open-cycle facility was built by the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research (PICHTR) at the Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii Authority (NELHA) in the 90’s. The latter two projects were funded by the U.S. Department of Energy.
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At least eight groups are currently active in the field:
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1. Not long after his retirement from Lockheed, the leader of Mini-OTEC, Jim Wenzel, formed MDA. His team has developed a low cost soft pipe and has proposed a 10 MW OTEC facility for the Marshall Islands.

2. Home to the major OTEC projects and sprouting marine nutraceuticals, coldwater agriculture crops, seafood, pearls, and a range of other products, NELHA was the first to demonstrate and commercialize the multi-product potential of this concept. Of all the ironies, though, deep ocean water passed through a reverse osmosis membrane to produce freshwater, is now the primary product of this facility. The revenues just from this item exceed any one product (sugar, pineapple, orchids) exported from Hawaii. Japan now has more than ten such facilities, but mostly for special shrimp, vegetable and low-value commodities. Korea and other countries of the Orient are planning for similar activities.

3. I seem to regularly cross paths with the Saga University team, led by Haruo Uyehara. They reportedly have more than a dozen OTEC projects under development, including the India 1 MW effort which has not yet produced net positive electricity, and as of 2007, none of theirs has yet reached this plateau. A commercial offshoot is Xenesys Inc.

4. Hans Krock, chairman of the board of Ocean Engineering and Energy Systems, a colleague of mine from the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology at the University of Hawaii, also has several efforts in various stages of planning, including a 1.2 MW system at NELHA and a 13 MW facility for the U.S. Navy on Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. He, too, though, has yet to attain net positive.

5. John Craven, liberally associated with Common Heritage Corporation in Hawaii, was reported to have signed a deal with Saipan for a multi-purpose deep ocean water center. He previously told me that Haiti was also very interested in a similar adventure. I need to golf with John to gain the latest of his adventures.

6. Bob Nicholson of Sea Solar Power has been to Hawaii several times to discuss the prospects of a floating 100 MW OTEC power plant to supply electricity and 32 million gallons/day of freshwater to Honolulu. The general consensus in Hawaii is that something on the order of a 10 MW first module might make more sense because of scale-up uncertainties. Perhaps this is why he is spending more time with the Caribbean Utilities Company, where a memorandum of agreement was signed several years ago. At one time they had hoped to have a plant operational off Grand Cayman Islands by 2008, but political problems delayed the effort. Sad to say, but SSP, too, has failed to produce any electricity at sea.

7. Luis Vega, the OTEC engineer for the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research, has managed to keep the technology alive since I first hired him twenty years ago. He did help engineer and operate that successful NELHA OTEC project. I wish him well.

8. A Lockheed Martin team visited Hawaii in 2007 to discuss their entry into the competition. The nearer term potential of OTEC hinges on their involvement and success. Their original team was the first to attain net positive. I recently received encouraging news from Ted Johnson, who leads the current effort, alerting me to very positive developments related to funding and support. Makai Ocean Engineering is serving as the local interface for LM in Hawaii.
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9. There are, of course, numerous other recent entries, such as Offshore Infrastructure Associates, Inc. in the Caribbean, the Energy Island of Dominic Michaelis and the like.

Pardon me for my jaded attitude, but when I was on the drafting team for the OTEC bill that was signed into law almost thirty years ago projecting 10,000 MW by 1999, I, too, was optimistic. Today, this prediction is still short, by exactly 10,000 MW. My attitude of caution is specifically for those projects that hope to profit only by producing electricity with OTEC today. The very first 10 MW scale prototype will no doubt have flaws, but that is a necessary step towards a commercial 100 MW facility, hopefully by 2012, and certainly by 2015. Overcoming these growing pains, I can envision someday 1000 members of the United Nations, 800 being marine plantships powered by OTEC, each doing their bit to prevent the formation of hurricanes and remediating global warming.
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Widespread implementation of OTEC has not occurred because of very high capital costs. However, increasing fossil fuel prices and/or restrictions on the possible future use of fossil fuels, combined with co-products, including value added environmental benefits, make OTEC a serious contender for future commercialization. Project Blue Revolution will subsequently detail future prospects.
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Oil sharply dropped today to $121/barrel. The DJI, though, also dipped, 42 to 11,284, awakening fears of a cascade effect leading to the Big D. High oil prices have reduced consumption (travelling, buying and related expenses), further reducing revenues so that jobs are sacrificed, unemployment rises, homes are foreclosed and the spiral begins. Hawaii, in particular, will be severely crunched because high air fares will significantly reduce tourism. If oil drops below $100/barrel, then this recession will work itself out. Many oil pundits are already reporting on why petroleum prices will return to double digits. However, if Goldman Sachs is right, crude will rise to $200/barrel in two years, and a depression might well be the outcome.
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All of sudden, less than 150 miles from Mississippi, in the Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Storm Edouard formed less than 24 hours ago, already has winds of 45 MPH, moving west northwest, and is expected to impact the region in the vicinity of Galveston, where Energy Ocean 2008 was recently held. Edouard could well by then be a hurricane and will under any circumstance dump a lot of rain on Texas and possible Louisiana.
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Saturday, August 2, 2008

THIRD REVIEW OF SIMPLE SOLUTIONS FOR PLANET EARTH

This the third review of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth (http://SimpleSolutionsBook1.com):

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2008.04.009

People love opinions. They don’t like simple lists of restaurants or hotels with reams of sterile data. They want “top 10 lists”, they want to know what or who is the best and what is the worst. They want league tables, star ratings and want to know what’s popular.

The success of, for example, the New York Times Besteller list or the Oprah book club underlines this. But why do opinions count for so much ? Well, despite our supposedly advanced level of civilisation, the human being is still essentially a tribal animal bound by tribal instincts of wanting to belong to a group. Thus knowing what is “popular” and “unpopular” is key information which allows us to be able to control how aligned we are with the tribe of the day. For millennia this information meant being able to belong to a group, and that meant death or survival. It is these tribal instincts which the human race has relied on for survival over millennia which are now threatening to undo us as a species. These are some of the big questions which Pat Takahashi addresses so eloquently in his new book “Simple Solutions for Planet Earth”. This book is a “popular text book”. It is as informative as a college text book but as easy to read and absorb as a popular science work. Its publication is very timely and coincides with the shift in human thinking away from greed and towards concern and worry about our environment. We are catching up with Professor Takahashi, who as he points out himself, started this journey over 45 years ago, a long time before Al Gore or Global Warming.

Humans need land, resources and water and to get these things for ourselves and not let other competing tribes get them, often leads to wars and sacrifice across the globe. Violence is very often about who gets or controls a resource, such as land, or oil, or votes. Despite the raging debates about the origins and meaning of religion, religion simply appeals to the strong instincts of mankind as a tribal animal. Tribes of people need to be led. They need a leader, and are calmer and happier when decisions of leadership are taken by others, prime ministers, presidents, mullahs, priests, and popes. One thing a leader does is to orchestrate the many to act as one, imparting great strength and power to an individual group (tribe). This trick was discovered by bacteria billions of years ago when they learned to communicate and act as one, allowing them new powers not available to individual cells. Many bacterial diseases for example cannot occur unless the behaviour of a large group of cells is orchestrated as one. Today however, human beings are still struggling with how to effectively communicate and act as one. What is clear is that when communication and coordinated behaviour breaks down, the individuals in that group are much weaker. Hence the old adage “divide and conquer”.

To get groups of people to act as one (or act together) is often very difficult. Yet we must start to do this if we are to survive much longer on Planet Earth. “Simple Solutions for Planet Earth” outlines how this might be done. Takahashi has been looking at issues related to the provision and use of energy by mankind his whole life. He has produced a very readable and enjoyable book which he states is not a textbook, but which in fact does the job of a textbook very well, namely to educate the reader in a specific area of science and the environment.

“Popular Science” is a bookshop category for books which allow non scientists to read and absorb scientific information. They are science books which are interesting and have reduced or little jargon. On the other hand, textbooks often serve the opposite purpose. They fill the student’s heads with jargon, definitions of the jargon and detailed and boring explanations of concepts and phenomena (which are often, in themselves, very interesting). Professionals often use jargon to help create and maintain a new “tribe”. The tribe of doctors, the tribe of lawyers, engineers and so on. Jargon protects information from being freely available to all and helps define and create a tribe upon which others are reliant. Pat has the opposite goal - to educate and unite large numbers of people and he has done this very successfully. He provides a book which is a rarity, a book which is an extremely interesting and entertaining text book open and accessible to all (and I do not know of many books in this category – publishers take note –a new and profitable category !). The book also weaves the concepts and messages around the very human story of Pat’s life. Again this is a common and successful strategy in popular science books. Scientific breakthroughs are told through the lives and eyes of the scientists who made them. “Simple Solutions” achieves its goal and that is to “facilitate” to educate, explain and help people understand the challenges of providing energy to a growing world population, so that in doing so the readers begin to move and do things on their own that they might never otherwise do. It’s a type of leadership which leads without leading but which shows people the way, and allows them to walk that path. There’s a Confucius quote on this somewhere.

So buy this book on Amazon now ! Its less than $20 and is a great story book which is also a text book and also part biography but above all, a very enjoyable read. I would even encourage Oprah to include it in her book club because of the seriousness of the environmental issues that it covers. The book is divided in rainbow themed style into colour coded chapters. Chapter 1 is appropriately about black energy, coal and oil but also includes gas and nuclear. Pat suggests a simple solution is to tax carbon emissions and promote research into nuclear fusion. In Chapter 2, Green energy is all about “good” energy. Solar, wind and biomass. In addition, hydroelectric, geothermal and other energy sources are described. And its very interesting to note that Pat’s Grandfather was instrumental in developing hydroelectric power on Hawaii. Leading edge energy policy happened early on Hawaii due to the fact that it is very far away from any energy sources and, unlike mainland locations energy was already a severe problem from the start, with oil prices artificially high due to the cost of getting the fuel to Hawaii.

But we use and some would say are addicted to black energy. Again, this is because mankind is a simple tribal beast and will pick “low hanging fruit” first, unless it harms him to do so. Of more relevance to readers of this journal is Chapter 3, where Pat has colour coded hydrogen energy as silver. Nice. He even provides a “roadmap to perpetual energy” on page 143. But the major stumbling blocks are not science or technology but human agreement. Pat realised this very early on in his career and as a result chose to work in Washington DC to try to make a change. But agreement amongst tribes in notoriously different. They have evolved NOT to agree. But to achieve this needs leadership and communication. The blue revolution (marine) in chapter 4, covers the major role of the oceans in the future of mankind. It is presented in an extremely engaging manner, with the history of interactions with people, and how things actually got done. It is very rare indeed that these things are documented and Takahashi is to be congratulated for providing such careful historical insights. I was interested to note the lack of enthusiasm for the Blue Revolution that Pat found in Europe, as I too struggled for many years to enthuse the “old continent” with the potential for this area. It has taken the vigorous strides of the asian economies in this area to wake Europe up and result eventually in long awaited investment. Amusingly this is again a very primitive response. Wow, look at how hard our neighbours are working in this area, we better do something ! Thus, often, action is taken not because it is inherently thought to be worthwhile but in order to compete.

The colour white labels chapter 5 and describes a “white out” scenario of the conversion of earth into an inhospitable planet similar to Venus as predicted might happen by Stephen Hawking and as result of a catastrophe caused by global warming. The simple solution? Reduce global warming - a very poignant piece of advice which, is being heeded, increasingly by each younger generation. The book concludes with a series of summaries and useful appendices presented in a very digestible manner which left me feeling positive about the future. But I am still concerned that the human race’s tribal instincts are not adapted to planetary survival. I hope and believe we will adapt, but some of the selective pressures may be very painful. The emerging fight over rich man’s fuel or poor man’s food in the biofuels arena is a case in point.

Throughout the book Takahashi’s marvellous sense of humour shines through, and his descriptions of pivotal meetings taking place while eating fugu testicles, or the moment when he finally purchased a mobile phone in 2006, years after the “tipping point” had me smiling and even laughing out loud. A first for a textbook.

Grant Burgess

Professor of Marine Biotechnology
University of Newcastle

Director,
The Dove Marine Laboratory
Newcastle, UK.
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Oil, of course, remained just over $125/barrel over the weekend. However, Big Oil's six majors had it's most profitable quarter ever of $51.5 billion. Of course, crude prices have doubled over the past year. The stock market was actually disappointed that the profits were not greater. Part of the problem is that these companies need to buy oil from OPEC.
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Again, no major storm activity on Planet Earth today.
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Friday, August 1, 2008

SECOND REVIEW OF SIMPLE SOLUTIONS FOR PLANET EARTH

This is the second review for SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth (http://SimpleSolutionsBook1.com):
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December 2007 Vol. XXII No. 12 ISSN 1080-8019

By Peter Hoffmann, Editor, The Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Letter

Maybe it’s far-fetched and a bit off the wall, but I couldn’t help but think of “The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy” when I read Pat Takahashi’s new book, “Simple Solutions for Planet Earth.” It’s really an entertaining romp through a number of universes Pat has traversed in his long, adventurous and successful career as scientist, environmentalist, clean energy advocate, searcher for extraterrestrial life, and for a mysterious female ancestral samurai great great grandmother in Japan, maybe an early Asian proto-feminist long before that term came into existence. Not to mention the Meaning of Life, but we’ll get to that later.

Those universes include the idyllic one of growing up Japanese-American in Hawaii; the convoluted one of the U.S. Energy Department (as member of the old Hydrogen Technical Advisory Panel, now reincarnated as the Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technical Advisory Committee); the murky universe of Capitol Hill and Congress (as energy adviser to the late Sen. Spark Matsunaga, D-HI, and drafter of one of the first hydrogen bills ever to make it out of Congress and into law); our real universe by participating in NASA’S Search for Extraterrestrial Life program, and the esoteric universe of high-energy physics by working for a while in laser fusion research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

Now Director Emeritus of the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute and retired professor of engineering at the University of Hawaii, Takahashi was a member of group of so-called Hydrogen Romantics who were instrumental in starting the interest in hydrogen energy in the early 1970s after the first oil shock, principally via the biannual series of World Hydrogen Energy Conferences. He helped spawn the Pacific International Center for High Technology Research, and other Hawaii-based organizations such as the Interior Department’s Marine Materials Technology Center, DoE’s Hydrogen Center, and the National Science Foundation Marine BioProducts Engineering Center.

I liked the book enormously despite, or maybe because of, the many quirky back-and-forth-and-sideways warps and jumps in time and space in which he interweaves personal history and experience with his name-naming opinions and judgments on everything: from hydrogen (“The Silver Bullet,” p. 111), to spending absurdities (“The B-2 bomber, if constructed of pure gold, would cost half the price of what taxpayers are paying,” p. 57, and, “the annual Federal budget for energy efficiency and renewable energy is about as much as we spend on gasoline in one day,” p.95), to how to legally expense-account $500 meals. It’s not a straight-line, linear book but then life usually isn’t.

Hydrogen takes up 39 of the 285 pages. He discusses why hydrogen has a chance (despite the current crop of naysayers), but he also discusses “What is wrong with hydrogen,” what he regards as other viable options such as methanol, and, veering off into the speculative and even metaphysical, the prospects for free hydrogen (Takahashi: “perhaps I’m off on yet another Man from La Mancha-esque mission: The Free Hydrogen Age”), and the ultimate question, “Is Hydrogen, then....God?” Go read it for yourself.

A “Black Energy” chapter discusses today’s conventional energy sources (“as fast as possible, eliminate all forms of fossil fuel and fission energy” and “continue to conduct research on fusion.” He even thinks cold fusion just might turn out to be for real). The “Green Enertopia” chapter outlines photovoltaics, direct solar, wind, biomass, etc.( “Green Enertopia is advanced as the first step for a simple solution....”). He places considerable hope on the oceans’ resources in a chapter on the “Blue Revolution” analogous to the land-based Green Revolution covering energy concepts such as OTEC, tidal energy, wave power, but also marine biomass plantations (“I would like the Blue Revolution to take hold in Hawaii.”) Chapters 5 and 6 deal with the prospects for climate change (“Whiteout - The Venus Syndrome”) and its effect on the oceans (Blackout - Six Hours to Seattle”): large waves, tsunamis and mega tsunamis.

“Simple Solutions,” isn’t really that simple in describing our predicaments and proposed solutions: Takahashi throws quite a few figures and details at the reader which make it, at times, a pretty complex yet quite delightful read if you’re interested in the arcana and personalities of the international clean energy arena.

The one thing the book could have used would have been a good copy editor. It almost looks as if the book had been written at breakneck speed, and there are quite a number of instances of loose sentence structure, improvable wording or less than graceful transitions. Some of the note numbering is out of whack, and in at least one and maybe more instances, the note numbers in the text do not show up in the Notes list at the end.

This is Book 1; in Book 2, which Takahashi says is largely written, he promises to go beyond Simple Solutions for Planet Earth to Simple Solutions, including genetic engineering, for Humanity: “life and death, and, perhaps, even beyond that......the ultimate solutions will come from a better educational system and maybe even from above - extraterrestrials or God.” We can’t wait.
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Oil jerked upwards to $125.10/bbl today. Predictably, the DJI dropped 52 to 11,326.
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Again, no hurricanes/typhoons/cyclones on Planet Earth today.
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