จำนวนการดูหน้าเว็บรวม

วันอาทิตย์ที่ 25 ตุลาคม พ.ศ. 2552

PROJECT GREEN ENERTOPIA


On February 12, 1992, Kiryun Choi, Director General of the New Energy Development Center of South Korea, and I signed an Agreement of Cooperation, pinpointing Cheju Island as the symbol of Green Enertopia for the country. This led to the Charter Assembly of the Green Enertopia International Forum on that island, immediately following the September 1997 World Congress of the International Solar Energy Society in Taejon. Participating in the Cheju gathering were the president of ISES, David Mills, and former director of Western Sun and at that time representing the Union of Concerned Scientists, Donald Aitken. Of course, Dr. Choi was there, for he funded the program. All this is reported in Chapter 2 on SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth, entitled Green Enertopia.


But a “terrible” thing happened in 1998. Chapter 1 of the book provides a table (using 2005 dollars), showing that in 1972, the price of oil was $18.76 (actually $2.85, for it is amazing how inflation changes the real value of money over time)/barrel. In 1980, after the second energy crisis, oil jumped to $89.48/barrel, but in 1998, crude oil crashed to $14.38/barrel, cheaper than what it was BEFORE the first energy crisis. All renewable energy projects were effectively cancelled, and Project Green Enertopia went into dormancy.


Well, twelve years later, Kiryun is now a professor of energy economics at Ajou University, and he has been asked by his government, while leading a science academy group to develop a national/international initiative, linking sustainable resources to the concept of global warming. Clearly, Project Green Enertopia is ideally suited to serve as the foundation from which a global program can be established, with Cheju Island as the headquarters.


Professor Choi is now visiting Hawaii, and on Friday, we had lunch with Milton Staackmann of the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, who served as Secretariat for the original Green Enertopia International Forum. Today, I took Kiryun around the island of Oahu, which, as the photos show, was as beautiful as ever. Here we see him with Rabbit Island in the background, then posing with that obligatory shave ice at Matsumoto's. Finally, we had a memorable dinner at La Mer.









-Tropical Storm Lupit is steaming away from the Philippines and will skirt the eastern side of Japan, bringing, at most, some waves, while Tropical Storm Neki has left Hawaii. Even that disturbance in the Atlantic weakened. All is well on the storm front around the world.

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We now have 115 countries in our membership. The latest two countries to visit this site are:


CAMBODIA POPULATION: 14,241,640

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Background
Most Cambodians consider themselves to be Khmers, descendants of the Angkor Empire that extended over much of Southeast Asia and reached its zenith between the 10th and 13th centuries. Attacks by the Thai and Cham (from present-day Vietnam) weakened the empire, ushering in a long period of decline. The king placed the country under French protection in 1863 and it became part of French Indochina in 1887. Following Japanese occupation in World War II, Cambodia gained full independence from France in 1953. In April 1975, after a five-year struggle, Communist Khmer Rouge forces captured Phnom Penh and evacuated all cities and towns. At least 1.5 million Cambodians died from execution, forced hardships, or starvation during the Khmer Rouge regime under POL POT. A December 1978 Vietnamese invasion drove the Khmer Rouge into the countryside, began a 10-year Vietnamese occupation, and touched off almost 13 years of civil war. The 1991 Paris Peace Accords mandated democratic elections and a ceasefire, which was not fully respected by the Khmer Rouge. UN-sponsored elections in 1993 helped restore some semblance of normalcy under a coalition government. Factional fighting in 1997 ended the first coalition government, but a second round of national elections in 1998 led to the formation of another coalition government and renewed political stability. The remaining elements of the Khmer Rouge surrendered in early 1999. Some of the surviving Khmer Rouge leaders are awaiting trial by a UN-sponsored tribunal for crimes against humanity. Elections in July 2003 were relatively peaceful, but it took one year of negotiations between contending political parties before a coalition government was formed. In October 2004, King Norodom SIHANOUK abdicated the throne and his son, Prince Norodom SIHAMONI, was selected to succeed him. Local elections were held in Cambodia in April 2007, and there was little in the way of pre-election violence that preceded prior elections. National elections in July 2008 were relatively peaceful.

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and


HONDURAS POPULATION: 7,639,327

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Background
Once part of Spain's vast empire in the New World, Honduras became an independent nation in 1821. After two and a half decades of mostly military rule, a freely elected civilian government came to power in 1982. During the 1980s, Honduras proved a haven for anti-Sandinista contras fighting the Marxist Nicaraguan Government and an ally to Salvadoran Government forces fighting leftist guerrillas. The country was devastated by Hurricane Mitch in 1998, which killed about 5,600 people and caused approximately $2 billion in damage.

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I will be visiting Cambodia in January. As an interesting afterthought, Professor Choi indicated that he is joining a group of colleagues in December on a trip to Myanmar (former Burma) to explore prospects for retiring there. A mansion can be purchased for $5,000 and one can easily survive on $1/day. Plus, the military keeps the place safe. Interestingly enough, they speak English in that country, because of early British influence. Of course, we all sympathize about the peaceful resistance of Aung San Suu Kyi, and decry the methods of the current leaders, but this is an example of how different cultures view the reality of life.


This brings the tally of site visitors to:

7093-115-305

In case your were wondering what these numbers mean, in my weekend blog, I summarize the total e-mail addresses visiting this site, the number of different countries and new visitors to this site this past week.

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วันศุกร์ที่ 23 ตุลาคม พ.ศ. 2552

IS EDUCATION TOO IMPORTANT TO SACRIFICE?


The University of Hawaii faculty union appears to be instigating a campaign to argue that the University is so important to the future of Hawaii that faculty should not be forced to take furloughs and pay cuts, otherwise they will leave, thus jeopardizing the reputation of the campus. Most initial reactions, including mine, were…here they go again in their ivory tower, having the gall to suggest they are too important to share in the state-wide effort to reduce spending because of the severe economic downturn. On second thought, and I can’t believe I’m saying this, maybe the University of Hawaii Professional Assembly is being responsible.


There was an astonishing op ed article today by the Secretary of Education, Arne Duncan, specifically criticizing the State of Hawaii for being the only state to reduce the length of the K-12 school year, especially during this period when the Federal Government has given the State $650 million to meet educational needs. He provides sound arguments that are compelling.


However, the fact of the matter is that the State is in trouble. Where, then, to cut the budget? The terrible part about this all is that the worse is yet to come.


My blog of July 21 opines that we will go into a local great depression when the price of oil jumps past $100/barrel and jet fuel prices increase again, for our economy is too dependent on tourism. If our leaders can do anything now, it is to do everything possible to work with the White House, Congress and the private sector to accelerate a program in next generation sustainable aviation: either a new type of plane, say powered by hydrogen, or a replacement for jet fuel, like from marine algae. The former will take 25 to 50 years, while the later, if possible, is at least a decade away. Unfortunately, Peak Oil and Global Warming will probably climax during the next ten years. I review the subject of sustainable aviation in the Huffington Post.


Coming the day after my global warming blog yesterday, it was timely, too, that the Honolulu Advertiser this morning published an article indicating that, with all the brouhaha about climate change, with the stall in Congress for legislation and the upcoming Kyoto 2 talks in Copenhagen in December, American belief in the issue took a dive. Only 36% feel that our burning of fossil fuels is the cause. I have long felt that governments will not act until one hot summer when millions perish. Thus, don’t expect much from that next environmental summit in Copenhagen. For one, it's too cold in Scandinavia. The next gathering should be held during the peak of summer in a place like Delhi.

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The Dow Jones Industrials again dipped below 10,000, down 109 to 9972, while world markets were mixed. Gold dropped $6/toz to $1056 and oil is sliding, now below $80/barrel.

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Incredibly and thankfully, Tropical Storm Lupit appears to now be moving away from the Philippines, and appears headed north northeast into the Pacific, maybe avoiding even Taiwan.

Hurricane Neki is also moving away from the Hawaiian Islands. However, there is now a new disturbance in the Atlantic.

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วันพฤหัสบดีที่ 22 ตุลาคม พ.ศ. 2552

OUR PLANET HAS CONTINUED TO WARM SINCE 2000


‘Planet Has Cooled Since Bush Took Office’ – Scientists Continue Dissenting – Gore Admits 'I've failed badly' - Global Sea Ice GROWS!

'Global Warming Theory has ‘failed consistently and dramatically’


These came from Free Republic, a conservative internet forum.

What about?

Earth has Cooled since Bush took Office


This came from Conservatism Today.

The Heartland Foundation regularly discredits global warming. Exxon was an early and major funder.



My Chapter 5 of SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Planet Earth goes into some detail on this subject. The above campaign, unfortunately, has worked! The public is confused and coal state Democrats in Congress maintain their coolness about climate change legislation because they know their constituency also has doubts about global warming. The fact that cap and trade or the carbon tax will of course raise the price of gasoline and electricity helps the cause of conservatives, Democrats from coal states and most Republicans.

Our Congress will not this year pass any global climate change legislation, but if the current cap and trade package sneaks through, that will probably be more bad than good because it is so flawed. I can't imagine President Barack Obama showing up in Copenhagen this December only to embarrass himself again after that Chicago Olympics fiasco.

Well, is our planet, then, cooling? NO! The following report from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies indicates that the ten warmest years on record have occurred from 1997 to 2008. WHO DO YOU BELIEVE? Conservatives, oil companies and Republicans or NASA Goddard?


2008 Was Earth's Coolest Year Since 2000

February 23rd, 2009 by Leslie McCarthy2008 Was Earth's Coolest Year Since 2000

Enlarge

Left: Annual-mean global-mean anomalies. Right: Global map of surface temperature anomalies for 2008. Credit: NASA GISS

(PhysOrg.com) -- Climatologists at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York City have found that 2008 was the coolest year since 2000. The GISS analysis also showed that 2008 is the ninth warmest year since continuous instrumental records were started in 1880. The ten warmest years on record have all occurred between 1997 and 2008.

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The Dow Jones Industrials jumped 132 today to 10081. The Japan Nikkei, incidentally is up to 10367, as markets in the Orient all went up, and those in Europe all dropped. Crude oil slipped a bit to $81/barrel and gold went up $4/toz to $1062.

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Typhoon Lupit will skirt just north of Northern Luzon, but as like Typhoon Parma, is slowing down, and will dump a lot of rain with some serious wind. The speculation is that Lupit will pretty much affect this region for three days, then move northeast, possibly missing Taiwan to the east.

Hurricane Neki is now, at 95 MPH, and is located just west of Kauai, but will mostly move north.


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วันพุธที่ 21 ตุลาคม พ.ศ. 2552

DO YOU WANT TO BE A BILLIONAIRE?

The following analysis is a bit confusing because the details are taken from two Forbes articles, the first in March reporting on the richest in the world and the second this month about Americans.


  1. Who has been the richest man in America for the past 16 years and only lost $7 billion this past year, while donating $3.8 billion? Bill Gates, worth $50 billion, is #1 in the nation and world.
  2. Warren Buffet lost almost $3 million/hour…yes, per hour. His remaining $40 billion makes him #2 in the country and world.
  3. Either Carlos Slim Helu, Mexican telecommunications billionaire, or Lawrence Ellison (Oracle) is #3. In March, Helu was worth $25 billion. In October, Ellison was up to $27 billion.
  4. Buffet lost $25 billion from last October and Helu also lost $25 billion (March 2008 to March 2009), so they both lost $3 million/hour. The world has about 300 fewer billionaires this year, but still has about 800. These billionaires lost $2 trillion from March to March, and were then worth $2.4 trillion. Of course, the market has really recovered since then, for the Ford stock I bought that month at $1.90 just about touched $8 at one point today.
  5. Christy and Alice Walton (Walmart, etc.) are each worth about $20 billion, and are the two richest women. Oprah is only worth $2.7 billion.
  6. The two richest men ever, adjusted for inflation, were American John D. Rockefeller ($318 billion) and Englishman Andrew Carnegie ($298 billion). Alexander the Great, who owned much of the civilized world and Egyptian pharaohs were not considered, or, supposedly, did not qualify for this list.

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The Dow Jones Industrials looked good until the final hour, when it crashed 130, or minus 92 for the day to under 10,000...9949. Gold edged up $4/toz to $1059 and crude oil shot up to nearly $82/barrel, then settled at $81.

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Typhoon Lupit, now at 90 MPH, ominously, has slowed down a bit, and is scheduled to strike Northern Luzon on Friday. Even Manila will be affected by some wind and a lot of rain. They can only be prepared and pray. Typhoon Parma stuck around for almost 9 days, so the only hope is for Lupit to get in and out as fast as possible.


Hurricane Neki, at 115 MPH, will attain Category 4 (131-155 MPH) status tomorrow, but, as can be seen, seems to be safely west of Kauai and moving north. (Whoops, maybe some of you will not be able to see the Hawaiian Islands. If so, Kauai is about where "reality" is located in the right box.)
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วันอังคารที่ 20 ตุลาคม พ.ศ. 2552

TEACHING RAINBOWS (Part 15)

The following continues the serialization of Chapter 3 on education from SIMPLE SOLUTIONS for Humanity:

The Four Added R’s of Education

On first thought, one might ask, why change anything when our educational system has made the USA #1. However, we are leaving children behind (not as preached by the former Bush White House, but in a marshmallow sort of way, still to come) and are sub-optimizing the process when the world, indeed, is catching up. It would be foolish to keep the status quo.


A simple solution is to add four more R’s:


Rigor. My sense is that something is missing today from the curriculum, or the teaching methodology. I haven’t been to school in a long time and I might be totally wrong, but, hate to say this, there is not enough suffering. You remember best when challenged with sacrifice. How to attain this level of rigor? I don’t know and am willing to discard this R if in any way pressed. Times have changed and, perhaps, the lack of rigor can be called progress.


Respect. A student from Laos in my first year of college teaching called me honorable professor. Well, he turned out to be the last one to do so, but walking across the campus (at Inha University) recently with a South Korean faculty member, one of his students smiled and called him honorable professor. In the U.S., and, perhaps, much of the developed world (remember: Finland was a definite exception), there is no respect for teaching and teachers. It is not that it is necessary for a teacher to be lord over his flock, but I keep hearing complaints that they are today more baby sitter, enforcement official or cowed servant than anything else. Again, this is the 21st millennium, and respect is earned, so the issue cuts in two directions.


Relevance. There are numerous papers on relevance for or of education. That is not the problem. Education is relevant. The teacher cannot make the student learn. The student learns best when something is relevant. It is internal motivation that creates the drive. How then to connect fundamentals to reality. The student learns best when the equation or graph or issue is important to her. With the advantage of current technology, there comes the need for someone to connect lesson to life. That is the role of the teacher. Harvard University in 1945 produced the Red Book standards and in 1978 established the Core Curriculum, changing education. In 2007, Harvard announced new guidelines for their general education curriculum, linking courses to problems, issues and questions students will encounter later in life. Or, in other words, introduce relevance. Students will now better think, then apply knowledge.


Relationship. This R is the most important one of all. Rigor can be eliminated, and mankind will not be lost. Respect might well be an anachronism. Relevance is in the eye of the beholder. Each teacher is smart enough to understand relevance, and there are innumerable ways to do this in a classroom and out. But relationship goes counter to current policy. Today, we focus on math and reading, give standardized tests and, at the end of the school year or semester, grades, which determine the future of a student. That’s okay, in fact, necessary. We, simply, must find a way to, in addition, produce a graduate who is more valuable to the community and more capable of succeeding in the real world.


What these R’s do is to level the playing field for those students who are not particularly gifted academically, but have other skills and talents equally important to success in life. These new R’s can lift the impulsive and unmotivated to a higher plateau, or, perhaps even, sway the potential lawbreaker towards good citizenship.

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The Dow Jones Industrials slipped 51 to 10041, while European markets were mostly down and that of the Orient up. Oil dropped a bit, and is around $79/barrel, while gold decreased $9/toz to $1055.

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Rick is now a tropical storm at 65 MPH and will spare Cabo San Lucas, instead aiming for Mazatlan for landfall on Wednesday.


Typhoon Lupit will strike Northern Luzon as a Category 3 (96-110 MPH) storm by the weekend, with rain coming in 24 hours.

There are two disturbances in the Atlantic. Nothing threatening at this time.
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