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Saturday, July 15, 2017


This blog site reports mostly on facts, and my life, which borders on fantasy.  Only on January 1 do I speculate about the future.  On 1 January 2011, for example, I predicted:

1.  Peak Oil will not occur until there is a cataclysmic event, such as Israel bombing an Iran nuclear site.
2.  2010 was the hottest year on record, but that will not stop Congressional Republicans in general and Democrats from fossil fuel states from preventing, horrors, anything like a carbon tax or cooperating with the world to take precautions for global warming. 

3.  Statistically, there should not be another 8.5 earthquake or stronger for another 20 years.

4.  I worry more about hurricanes, but it is appearing that the city of Honolulu is protected by those mountains of Maui and the Big Island, for all of these storms forming near Mexico come from the east and many fizzle anywhere close to those islands.
5.  The United States will not totally return all troops home from Iraq or Afghanistan for a long time to come.  We won those wars, but continue to remain in Japan (33,000), South Korea (29,000) and Germany (57,000).  WHY???  Note that we lost the Viet Nam War and have zero presence in that country.

Mind you, that was six and a half years ago.  I was wrong on one prediction:  the Great Tohoku Earthquake, leading to the terrible tsunami and nuclear disaster, was a 9.0 magnitude earthquake.

Today I will speculate on a really bad case scenario for the Trump family.  Two op-ed articles in the Honolulu Star-Advertiser today focused on this topic:
  • Kathleen Parker sarcastically detailed how President Donald Trump, the great uniter, has inspired a movement of public participation in public life.
  • Dave Brooks:  Donald Trump, Jr. "is oblivious to the idea that ethical concerns could possibly play a role in everyday life."  Why?  His great grandfather came to America from Germany when he was 16 in 1885 and ventured west to operate a hotel with a bordello.  His son, Fred Trump, Donald the elder's father, grew up never missing an opportunity to bend the rules.  We now know the character of President Donald Trump.
Junior's web of lies can only be expected.  How many of you actually believe, further, that he never told his father about any Russian collusion attempt until just the other day?

So let me take the current amorphous chaos of confusion to one extreme:
  • There will come at least one death.  Suicide?  Assassination?  Whatever.
  • Robert S. Mueller III's federal criminal investigation will verify the Trump connection to how Russia influenced the latest presidential election process.
  • While the U.S. Senate will never impeach Donald, for this would require a two-thirds majority, our 45th PUS (President of the United States) will resign in circumstances similar to Richard Nixon.
  • Mike Pence then becomes PUS 46?  Nope,  our Nation will find a way to repeat the latest presidential and congressional election process, for the consequence of alien involvement not only affected the presidency.
  • Democrats win the White House and both houses of Congress, for Americans got a sufficient scare, returning a sense of sanity.
  • Obamacare continues, the USA rejoins the Paris Agreement and Planet Earth and Humanity are saved.
Dream on.  I see no way for this scenario to unfold.  But who a year ago thought we would be where we are now?

I've been watching Hurricane Fernanda for several days, and, finally, there now seems to be some weakening projected:


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